The USC Trojans (6-6) square off against the UC Davis Aggies (3-9) at the Galen Center. The game will air on Pac-12 Network at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 30, 2018.
UC Davis Aggies vs. USC Trojans ATS Prediction
The last time the Aggies played, they were dismantled by the San Francisco Dons, 76-42. San Francisco won the rebounding battle. The Dons had more offensive rebounds (11 vs. five), defensive rebounds (32 vs. 23) and total rebounds (43 vs. 28). Stefan Gonzalez was UC Davis’ leading scorer with eight points on 3-for-7 shooting.
The Trojans easily got past the Robert Morris Colonials in their last matchup, 83-62. The Trojans had a much better free throw rate (0.281 vs. 0.129) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.588 vs. 0.379). With 18 points and 16 rebounds, Nick Rakocevic had a good outing for USC.
Kevin Porter Jr. has averaged 0 points over the last five games for USC.
It will be a showdown of conflicting tempos as the fast-breaking Trojans will look to push the more methodical Aggies. The Trojans currently rank 21st in possessions per game while the Aggies are 287th.
UC Davis at USC Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Usc, ATS Winner – USC, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
USC ranks 64th in rebounds per game (38.6) while UC Davis ranks 242nd (30.6).
The Trojans rank 47th in assists per game (15.8) while the Aggies rank 203rd (11.3).
UC Davis ranks 37th in three pointers allowed per game (19.7) while USC ranks 167th (24.0).
The Trojans rank 95th in steals per game (6.7) while the Aggies rank 131st in steals allowed per game (7.3).
USC ranks 15th in blocks allowed per game (2.2) while UC Davis ranks 34th (2.6).
Bettings Trends:
The Aggies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 16.4, up from 7.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trojans have scored an average of 83.6 points per game (3.8 above their season average) and allowed an average of 72.2 points per game (3.0 below their season average).
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