The UC Davis Aggies will be at Robert A. Mott Gym to face the Cal Poly Mustangs in a Big West matchup. The game starts at 10:00 pm ET on Thursday, Feb. 18.
The Mustangs beat UC Riverside 86-78 in their last matchup. Reese Morgan had a good game, putting up 17 points, six steals, and four rebounds for the Mustangs. The Aggies, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their 57-48 loss against Long Beach State in their last outing. Josh Fox had a team-high 20 points.
This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Aggies won the first game 66-52. Fox put up 18 points and 10 rebounds.
The Mustangs are hoping to improve on their records of 9-15 Straight Up (SU) and 8-13 Against The Spread (ATS). Cal Poly has averaged 58.6 points per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 74.5. Cal Poly is one of the most disciplined teams in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.44. Cal Poly’s defense has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average points allowed per game dropped to 60.9 during that span, compared to its 76.0 season average.
In the other locker room, the Aggies have records of 8-13 ATS and 10-14 SU. Offensively, the Aggies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 63.8 points per game by averaging 73.4 during that stretch. Moving on to the UC Davis defense, the Aggies allow just 65.0 points per game, ranking them 32nd in the nation. The UC Davis defense has been a problem for competitors, allowing only .311 shooting from three-point range.
The Aggies’ win over Cal Poly in their last clash brought their SU record in their most recent games to 6-4. Additionally, with a 7-2-1 record, UC Davis has the advantage ATS. Neither team held the edge in field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers in a single game during this span.
Predictions: SU Winner – CalPly, ATS Winner – CalPly
Notes
Cal Poly averages 74.5 points per game, placing the team just 117th in the nation. UC Davis ranks 32nd in points allowed, giving up 65.0 points per game.
The UC Davis Aggies have a defensive rating of 96.2 (ranked 38th), while the Cal Poly Mustangs have an offensive rating of 107.4 (ranked 137th).
Cal Poly has an average field goal percentage of 43.1%. UC Davis is a poor 4-7 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Cal Poly Mustangs rank lower for their field goal percentage (230th) than they do for their effective field goal percentage (205th), but the UC Davis Aggies have a better FG% ranking (212th) than eFG% ranking (255th).
Cal Poly ranks 98th in assists, registering 14.8 per game. UC Davis performs worse at 335th with 10.5 assists per game.
On average, UC Davis makes 6.2 steals per game. Cal Poly is an underachieving 2-6 when it allows at least 6 steals.
