It will be a battle between AmEast opponents when the Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks (8-9, 0-2 AmEast) welcome the UMBC Retrievers (9-8, 1-1 AmEast) to the Costello Athletic Center. The game starts at 5:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019, and will air on ESPN 3.
UMBC Retrievers at Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks Free Prediction
In the Retrievers’ last game, they were beaten by the Hartford Hawks, 66-64. Hartford’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over UMBC. The Hawks had a rate of 0.509 (below their season average of 0.519), while the Retrievers posted a mark of 0.464 (below the 0.525 mark opponents have averaged against Hartford this season). Joe Sherburne put together a good outing for UMBC, putting up 17 points.
The River Hawks were beaten by the New Hampshire Wildcats in their last contest, 68-64. New Hampshire’s turnover percentage was their largest advantage over Massachusetts-Lowell. The Wildcats posted a mark of 12.0 (stronger than their season average of 15.4), while the River Hawks had a rate of 20.7 (above the 16.0 mark opponents have averaged against New Hampshire this season). With 20 points on 5-for-9 shooting, Obadiah Noel was the game’s leading scorer.
After the Retrievers won all three matchups against the River Hawks last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the last game, UMBC won 89-77. The Retrievers had a better turnover percentage (11.6 vs. 15.6) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.5 vs. 21.6).
It might be a mistake-prone game for the Massachusetts-Lowell offense. Massachusetts-Lowell ranks 265th in the country in ball protection (turnover percentage of 20.5 percent), while the disruptive defense of UMBC forces the 14th-most turnovers in the nation (24.8 percent).
UMBC at Massachusetts-Lowell ATS Pick
College Basketball Prediction: SU Winner – Massachusetts-Lowell, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Massachusetts-Lowell ranks 86th in three pointers allowed per game (21.2) while UMBC ranks 226th (26.0).
The Retrievers rank 28th in steals per game (8.4) while the River Hawks rank 153rd in steals allowed per game (7.5).
Massachusetts-Lowell ranks 31st in assists per game (16.6) while UMBC ranks 82nd (14.6).
The River Hawks rank 101st in rebounds per game (37.0) while the Retrievers rank 121st in rebounds allowed per game (34.8).
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The Retrievers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.2, up from 5.1 for the season.
During their last five games, the River Hawks have scored an average of 78.6 points per game (3.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 77.6 points per game (1.8 below their season average).
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