The UNC Greensboro Spartans (7-13) will try to slow down the nation’s top scoring team when they take on the Citadel Bulldogs (9-11) at McAlister Field House. The game starts at 6:00 pm ET on Thursday, Jan. 28 and will air on ES3.
The Bulldogs were beaten by East Tennessee State 101-92 the last time they played. Quayson Williams was the game’s high scorer, contributing 32 points.
Citadel is favored by a small one-point margin in its matchup against UNC Greensboro. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 178 points. The Bulldogs enter the game with records of 9-11 Straight Up (SU) and 8-4 Against The Spread (ATS). The Bulldogs come into the game with the top-ranked scoring offense in the nation, averaging 89.9 points per game. The Bulldogs are a dangerous three-point shooting team with 11.0 made per game, one of the highest marks in Division I. Citadel has the 18th-most assists in Division I, averaging 17.4 per game.
On the other side, the Spartans head into the game with records of 6-7 ATS and 7-13 SU. UNC Greensboro may be taking trips to the free throw line early and often with the Bulldogs averaging a Division I-high 24.9 fouls per game.
This is the first meeting of the season for these conference rivals. The last time they played, UNC Greensboro came out on top, bringing its SU record in their most recent games to 7-3. Additionally, with a 6-4 record, UNC Greensboro has the advantage ATS. UNC Greensboro topped the Bulldogs in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) twice over the last five matchups. Citadel has never had the edge in all three categories.
Predictions: SU Winner – Cit, ATS Winner – Cit, O/U – Over
Notes
The Citadel is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of The Citadel’s last 5 games.
The Citadel is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home.
The Citadel is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing UNC Greensboro.
The Citadel is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against UNC Greensboro.
Citadel is struggling at 2-5 SU in its conference, while UNC Greensboro sits at 3-4 SU.
Citadel scores an average of 93.3 points per home game, topping the nation in home scoring. UNC Greensboro allows a whopping 80.2 points per road game (ranked 284th).
UNC Greensboro has an average field goal percentage of 43.8%. Citadel is a poor 7-11 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
The Citadel Bulldogs and the UNC Greensboro Spartans both rank higher in average effective field goal percentage when compared to their field goal percentages. Citadel is 169th and 75th in the nation for FG% and eFG% respectively, while UNC Greensboro is 198th and 130th in these categories.
Ranked 18th in the nation, Citadel has an average of 17.4 assists per game. UNC Greensboro ranks lower at 242nd with 12.6.
Citadel averages a forced turnover percentage of 22.0% this season. When the UNC Greensboro Spartans suffer a turnover rate equal to or exceeding this, the team is winless with a 0-4 record.
