The Hofstra Pride (19-11, 12-6 CAA) take on the UNCW Seahawks (10-20, 7-11 CAA) in the Colonial Conference Tourney at North Charleston Coliseum. The game gets underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, March 4, 2018.
Hofstra is a 5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 163 points.
UNCW Seahawks vs. Hofstra Pride Free Prediction
The last time the Seahawks played, they beat the Drexel Dragons, 83-82. UNCW’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Drexel. The Seahawks had a rate of 0.474 (below their season average of 0.498), while the Dragons posted a mark of 0.442 (below their season average of 0.507). Devontae Cacok had a good outing for UNCW, contributing 16 points and 21 rebounds.
The Pride were victorious over the Towson Tigers in their last contest, 91-86. One of Hofstra’s biggest strengths was getting to the charity stripe. They had 40 free throw attempts, while Towson had just 18. Justin Wright-Foreman led Hofstra in scoring with 27 points on 8-for-18 shooting.
Hofstra could dominate on the offensive side of the ball as their productive offense faces off against one of the NCAA’s worst defenses. The Pride rank 36th in offensive efficiency, while UNCW ranks 332nd in defensive efficiency.
UNCW heads into the game with records of 10-20 straight up (SU) and 10-16-1 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Seahawks have a tendency to finish over the total (59.3 percent).
Meanwhile, Hofstra owns records of 19-11 SU and 14-12 ATS. Pride games also have typically finished over the total (61.5 percent).
Both teams have won a game in the season series. The Seahawks won the most recent matchup 90-70, covering as 3-point underdogs. The game finished with a total of 160 points, which was just 0.5 points below the projected point total of 160.5 points. The Seahawks had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (35.1 vs. 20.5) and had a better turnover percentage (9.3 vs. 12.3). Cacok put up a double-double in the victory with 25 points and 16 rebounds.
UNCW Seahawks vs. Hofstra Pride Odds Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Hofstra, ATS Winner – Hofstra, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes:
UNCW ranks eighth in rebounds per game (40.9) while Hofstra ranks 127th (35.6).
The Seahawks average 15.4 assists per game, which ranks 61st in the NCAA. The Pride rank 173rd in assists allowed per game (13.9).
Hofstra ranks 147th in three pointers attempted per game (21.9) while UNCW ranks 216th in three pointers allowed per game (23.4).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, UNCW is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Hofstra is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Seahawks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.6, down from 3.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pride have scored an average of 83.2 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 79.4 points per game (2.6 above their season average).