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UNLV Rebels at San Jose State Spartans: 10/27/2018 Free Betting Pick

Oct 13, 2018; San Jose, CA, USA; San Jose State Spartans quarterback Michael Carrillo (14) looks to throw the football against the Army Black Knights during the third quarter of the game at Levi's Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

The UNLV Rebels (+1) are heading west to face the San Jose State Spartans at CEFCU Stadium. This conference showdown is scheduled to start at 6:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ATSN.

UNLV Rebels at San Jose State Spartans Betting Preview

In this Saturday Mountain West game, San Jose State has been projected as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 1 point. The Rebels are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Spartans are -105. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 59.5 points, and should one program finds paydirt early, it’ll likely generate a nice live betting opportunity.

Odds have moved from where they were first posted. The opening line was 2, while the game’s O/U hasn’t moved after it was initially set at 59.5.

The Rebels are down 5.6 units so far and 4-3 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 5-1. The Spartans are down 4.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-4 ATS and have an even O/U record of 3-3.

The Rebels have gone 2-5 straight up (SU), including 0-3 SU against conference opponents. The Spartans are 0-7 SU overall and are also 0-3 SU in conference play.

When these two schools faced each other last year, UNLV won by four touchdowns 41-13.

The Rebels hope to get back on track after a 41-35 loss to Air Force last week. Max Gilliam completed 26-of-38 passes for 261 yards, three scores and one interception. Lexington Thomas (108 yards on 20 rush attempts, two TDs) led the running attack. Brandon Presley (seven receptions, 78 yards, one TD) and Darren Woods Jr. (five catches, 75 yards, two TDs) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

San Jose State narrowly fell 16-13 to San Diego State. Josh Love completed 26-of-36 passes for 215 yards and one interception. Tyler Nevens (60 rushing yards on 20 attempts) mounted the running game while Tre Hartley (six receptions, 68 yards) and Josh Oliver (six catches, 53 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

UNLV’s run the ball on 62.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Jose State has an overall rush percentage of 45.5 percent. The Rebels have rushed for 240 yards per game (including 112 per game against Mountain West opponents) and have 16 scores on the ground this year. The Spartans are putting up 52 rush yards per game (50 in conference) and have seven total rushing TDs.

The Rebels offense has averaged 143 yards through the air overall (211 per game versus conference opposition) and has 14 passing TDs so far. The Spartans have produced 255 pass yards per contest (307.0 against MWC competition) and have 10 total pass scores.

Defensively, UNLV should have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 221 yards and pass for 241 yards per game. The San Jose State D has given up 261.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 186.0 yards per game on the ground. The Spartans are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.67 to opposing QBs, while the Rebels have given up a staggering 9.52 ANY/A.

Offensively, Gilliam has put up 384 passing yards on the year. The signal-caller has connected on 57 percent of his 74 attempts with five scores through the air and two interceptions. He has a 4.25 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.67 over the last two outings.

As a group, Tyleek Collins, Lexington Thomas and Darren Woods Jr. have combined for 502 total yards and seven touchdowns over the last two outings.

Josh Love has connected on 100-of-185 passes for 1,245 yards, eight TDs and six INTs for San Jose State. His ANY/A stands at 5.18 for the year and 4.41 over his last two games.

Tyler Nevens (212 rushing yards, three rush TDs this season), Tre Walker (164 receiving yards) and Tre Hartley (284 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) have combined for 286 total yards over the last two games.

RELATED: Week 9 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

NCAA Pick: UNLV Rebels at San Jose State Spartans

SU Winner – San Jose State, ATS Winner – San Jose State, O/U – Over

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Notes

Both teams have lost five fumbles this year.

Each team defense has tallied nine sacks this season.

UNLV has rushed for 3.1 yards per attempt over its past three outings and 3.6 over its last two.

San Jose State has averaged 1.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 1.5 over its last two.

In its last three games, San Jose State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for UNLV’s previous game was 54.5. The over cashed in the team’s 41-35 defeat to Air Force.

In its last three matches, UNLV is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.

The O/U for San Jose State’s previous matchup was set at 45.5. The under cashed in the 16-13 loss to San Diego State.

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Written by GMS Previews

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