It will be a battle between MWC opponents when the San Diego State Aztecs (10-8, 2-3 MWC) welcome the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (11-7, 5-1 MWC) to Viejas Arena at Aztec Bowl. The game will air on CBS Sports Network at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 26, 2019.
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs Betting Prediction
In the Runnin’ Rebels’ last outing, they beat the New Mexico Lobos, 74-58. The Runnin’ Rebels, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.492, had a solid mark of 0.561, while the Lobos had a free throw rate of 0.129 (below their season average of 0.274). UNLV received a boost from Nick Blair, who was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 9-for-14 shooting.
The Aztecs fell to the Fresno State Bulldogs in their last game, 66-62. Fresno State’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The Bulldogs had 14 offensive rebounds and 41 total rebounds, while the Aztecs had four and 28, respectively. With 19 points on 8-for-12 shooting, Jalen McDaniels led San Diego State in scoring.
UNLV figures to have an advantage on the offensive glass in this matchup. The Runnin’ Rebels currently rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (40.2 percent), while San Diego State ranks 222nd in defensive rebounding percentage (71.0 percent).
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The Aztecs won the most recent matchup 94-56. The Aztecs had a much better turnover percentage (10.5 vs. 24.1) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (30.6 vs. 14.3).
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels vs. San Diego State Aztecs Pick
Pick: SU Winner – UNLV, ATS Winner – San Diego State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
UNLV ranks 14th in three pointers allowed per game (18.0) while San Diego State ranks 228th (25.2).
The Runnin’ Rebels rank 12th in rebounds per game (40.9) while the Aztecs rank 155th (35.2).
San Diego State ranks 45th in assists per game (15.7) while UNLV ranks 153rd (13.2).
The Runnin’ Rebels rank 42nd in blocks per game (4.4) while the Aztecs rank 138th (2.7).
Bettings Trends:
The Runnin’ Rebels’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 11.8, up from 4.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Aztecs have scored an average of 71.0 points per game (4.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 69.4 points per game (0.7 below their season average).
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