Pac-12 foes will collide when the Oregon State Beavers (11-6) face the No. 21 USC Trojans (15-4) at Gill Coliseum. Action begins at 3:00 pm ET on Sunday, Jan. 24 and can be seen on PAC.
The Beavers are hoping to rebound after their 82-73 loss to UCLA on Wednesday. Gary Payton II was the team’s leading scorer with 17 points. The Trojans, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their 89-81 loss against Oregon on Thursday. USC lost despite the best efforts of Bennie Boatwright, who recorded his first double-double of the season with 23 points and 12 rebounds.
It’s a matchup of two different tempos, as the fast-paced Trojans (ranked 11th in the nation in possessions per game) square off against the grind-it-out Beavers (280th).
USC is a slim one-point favorite over Oregon State. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at 148 points for this matchup. The Beavers come into this game 11-6 Straight Up (SU) and 8-8 Against The Spread (ATS).
In the other locker room, the Trojans have 15-4 SU and 13-6 ATS records. USC performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning a 7-3 record. Offensively, they average 82.2 points per game on the road, which is eighth in the country. The Trojans have controlled the glass with an average of 42.5 rebounds per game, seventh in the country. Shifting to the other side of the court, the Trojans have one of the best opponent field-goal percentages in the nation at .396. Blocking shots is an area where USC has excelled. The Trojans average 6.4 blocks per game, making them one of the best in the nation.
This game marks the season’s first head-to-head clash between these conference foes. Their previous game was a Trojans victory, but the win was not enough to overtake Oregon State in their recent head-to-head series. Their record is now 3-7 SU over the most recent meetings. Furthermore, Oregon State holds the advantage ATS with a record of 6-3-1. USC held the edge in field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers one time, while Oregon State was never able to do so in their most recent five games.
Predictions: SU Winner – USC, ATS Winner – USC, O/U – Over
Notes
Oregon State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oregon State’s last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oregon State’s last 7 games at home.
Oregon State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oregon State’s last 12 games when playing USC.
USC holds a 4-2 SU record against the Pac-12 Conference this season, while Oregon State has a losing 2-4 SU record against the conference.
USC is one of the top-scoring teams on the road, averaging 82.2 points per game (ranked eighth). Oregon State, on the other hand, allows 67.4 points per home game (ranked 162nd).
Ranked 55th, the USC Trojans have an offensive rating of 112.7. The Oregon State Beavers rank 147th with a defensive rating of just 101.3.
Oregon State has an average field goal percentage of 44.0%. USC is an even 2-2 when opponents have a similar or higher field goal percentage.
On average, Oregon State attempts 16.0 three pointers and USC attempts 21.0. Both teams have winning records when they have 20 or more three point attempts. The Oregon State Beavers sit at 4-1 and the USC Trojans are 11-3.
USC ranks 74th in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.24. Oregon State is ranked lower at 118th with an A/TO of 1.15.
The USC Trojans average 42.5 rebounds per game and are ranked seventh. The Oregon State Beavers average 35.7 rebounds per game, ranked 222nd.
The USC Trojans rank 64th in offensive rebounds. The Oregon State Beavers rank 280th in the nation in defensive rebounds.
On average, Oregon State forces a turnover rate of 19.9%. When USC turns over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 2-1 record.
