The Cal Poly Mustangs (1-4) clash with the USC Upstate Spartans (1-4) at Earle A. Chiles Center. The game is scheduled to begin at 5:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 24, 2018.
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Cal Poly Mustangs Free Prediction
In the Spartans’ last game, they were blown out by the Texas State Bobcats, 82-50. Texas State’s free throw rate was their largest strength over USC Upstate. The Bobcats had a rate of 0.281 (above their season average of 0.223), while the Spartans posted a mark of 0.135 (below their season average of 0.177). Malik Moore was USC Upstate’s leading scorer with 13 points on 5-for-12 shooting.
The Mustangs fell to the Portland Pilots in their last game, 72-67. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Portland’s biggest strengths. They made 28 trips to the line, while Cal Poly went just 12 times. Cal Poly’s Mark Crowe had 10 points in the game.
USC Upstate holds records of 1-4 straight up (SU) and 1-2 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Spartans have typically gone under the projected point total (66.7 percent).
Meanwhile, Cal Poly owns records of 1-4 SU and 1-2 ATS. Of the Mustangs’ 3 games with betting action, one has finished over the projected point total.
USC Upstate should be expected to protect the ball well in this contest. Since the 2017-18 season, USC Upstate ranks 52nd in the NCAA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 16.8 percent), while Cal Poly has forced the 42nd-fewest turnovers (16.6 percent).
USC Upstate vs. Cal Poly Odds Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Cal Poly, ATS Winner – Cal Poly, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
USC Upstate ranks 12th in blocks allowed per game (2.4) while Cal Poly ranks 172nd (3.4).
The Spartans rank 147th in assists per game (13.8) while the Mustangs rank 270th (12.0).
USC Upstate ranks 152nd in steals per game (6.2) while Cal Poly ranks 270th (5.0).
The Mustangs rank 49th in three pointers allowed per game (19.7) while the Spartans rank 156th (21.6).
Cal Poly ranks 250th in rebounds allowed per game (36.7) while USC Upstate ranks 298th (38.4).
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