The Atlanta Hawks (13-32) clash with the Utah Jazz (19-27) at Philips Arena. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 22, 2018.
Utah opened as a 2.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 205 points.
Utah Jazz at Atlanta Hawks ATS Prediction
The Jazz will be hoping for a similar result after defeating the Los Angeles Clippers in their last contest, 125-113. Utah’s offensive rebounding percentage was their largest advantage over Los Angeles. The Jazz had a rate of 28.9 (above their season average of 19.8), while the Clippers posted a mark of 13.5 (below their season average of 23.8). With 23 points on 9-for-16 shooting, Donovan Mitchell led Utah in scoring.
In the Hawks’ last game, they lost to the Chicago Bulls, 113-97. One of Chicago’s largest advantages was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 19-21 (90.5 percent), while the Hawks were just 16-23 (69.6 percent). With 11 points and 11 rebounds, Dewayne Dedmon had a good performance for Atlanta.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Atlanta offense. Atlanta ranks 26th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 15.1 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Utah forces the fourth-most turnovers in the league (15.6 percent).
Utah comes into the game with records of 19-27 straight up (SU) and 23-23 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has been spot on when setting the total of Jazz games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Atlanta is 13-32 SU and 24-19-2 ATS. Similarly to Utah, Hawks games have gone under the projected point total 51.1 percent of the time.
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Mitchell (25.0 points, 3.2 assists and 1.8 steals) has been fantastic for the Jazz while Dennis Schroder (22.0 points, 7.8 assists and 1.6 steals) has contributed greatly to the Hawks.
After the Jazz won both matchups against the Hawks last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the last contest, Utah won 120-95. The Jazz’s 28.1 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Hawks, who had a rate of 16.7.
Utah Jazz vs. Atlanta Hawks ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Hawks, ATS Winner – Hawks, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Utah is 9-14 ATS with 13 overs, 9 unders and 1 push.
Atlanta is 12-10 ATS at home with 11 overs, 10 unders and 1 push.
Utah is 10-4 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Atlanta is 6-3.
The Jazz are 17-11 when they score more than 100 points, while the Hawks are 12-18.
Utah ranks fourth in assists allowed per game (20.2) while Atlanta ranks 29th (25.7).
The Jazz rank second in steals per game (9.2) while the Hawks rank 23rd in steals allowed per game (8.4).
Utah ranks fifth in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while Atlanta ranks 23rd (13.5).
The Jazz rank ninth in three pointers allowed per game (26.9) while the Hawks rank 25th (30.8).
Utah ranks third in fast break points allowed per game (9.2) while Atlanta ranks 18th (11.9).
The Hawks rank third in points off turnovers per game (18.6) while the Jazz rank 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.6).
Utah ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while Atlanta ranks 16th (44.8).
The Jazz rank 15th in blocks per game (4.7) while the Hawks rank 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Utah is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Atlanta is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Jazz’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 0.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Hawks have scored an average of 101.6 points per game (2.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 102.4 points per game (5.4 below their season average).
