The Brooklyn Nets (8-13) square off with the Utah Jazz (9-12) at the Barclays Center. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018, and will air on YES Network.
Utah Jazz vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction
The Jazz are hoping to rebound after not being able to cover as 4.5-point favorites in their 121-88 loss to the Indiana Pacers in their last game. The total points for the game (209) were just over the O/U total of 206.5. Indiana made nine of their 18 three pointers (50.0 percent). Utah, meanwhile, was 8-31 (25.8 percent). Derrick Favors was Utah’s high scorer with 13 points on 6-for-9 shooting.
In the Nets’ previous game, they dropped a tough one against the Philadelphia 76ers, 127-125, but did cover as 4.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (252) came in well over the projected point total of 225.5. Philadelphia’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Brooklyn. The 76ers had a rate of 7.9 (better than their season average of 13.8), while the Nets posted a mark of 14.2 (above the 10.3 mark opponents have averaged against Philadelphia this season). Brooklyn’s D’Angelo Russell had a solid game, leading both teams in scoring with 38 points on 16-for-28 shooting.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams face off. Brooklyn currently ranks 22nd in possessions per game (101.6) and Utah is 23rd (101.4). Additionally, the Jazz are among the league’s best at getting to the line, ranking fourth in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.236). The Nets, meanhwile, rank 28th at keeping opponents off the charity stripe with an opponents’ FTA rate of 0.241.
Utah comes into the contest with records of 9-12 straight up (SU) and 9-12 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to place the total low when the Jazz are involved, as 66.7 percent of their games have finished over the total.
Meanwhile, Brooklyn owns records of 8-13 SU and 10-11 ATS. A little over half of Nets games have finished over the O/U total.
Spencer Dinwiddie has averaged 18 points,7.4 assists over the last five games for Brooklyn.
After splitting two games last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the most recent game, the Nets won 118-107. The Nets’ 11.5 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over the Jazz, who had a rate of 15.2.
Jazz at Nets Free Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Nets, ATS Winner – Nets, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Utah is 6-7 ATS on the road with 7 overs and 6 unders.
At home, Brooklyn is 3-6 ATS with 6 overs and 3 unders.
When allowing below 100 points, Brooklyn is 4-0 and Utah is 3-2.
When reaching the century mark, the Jazz are 7-6 and the Nets are 8-12.
Utah ranks sixth in second chance points allowed per game (11.6) while Brooklyn ranks 28th (16.5).
The Jazz rank fifth in steals per game (8.7) while the Nets rank 26th (6.5).
Utah ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.3) while Brooklyn ranks 18th (45.9).
The Nets rank eighth in points in the paint per game (49.9) while the Jazz rank 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (49.4).
Utah averages 17.0 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Brooklyn ranks 21st in points off turnovers allowed (17.6 per game).
The Jazz rank 3 in blocks allowed per game (4.380952380952381) while the Nets rank 10 (4.857142857142857).
Brooklyn ranks 1 in assists allowed per game (21.19047619047619) while Utah ranks 6 (22.523809523809526).
The Jazz are 28 in the NBA with 10.19047619047619 fast break points per game while the Nets are last with 8.80952380952381 fast break points per game.
Brooklyn leads the league with 25.333333333333332 three pointers allowed per game while Utah is 2 with 27.095238095238095 three pointers allowed per game.
Bettings Trends:
In its last five outings, Utah is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Brooklyn is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Jazz’s average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 11.0, up from 3.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nets have scored an average of 112.6 points per game (2.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 115.4 points per game (3.9 above their season average).
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