The Houston Rockets (3-1) will look to advance to the Western Conference Finals when they clash with the Utah Jazz (1-3) at Toyota Center in game five of the Western Conference Semifinals. The game can be seen on TNT at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May 8, 2018.
Houston is a 12-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 209.5 points.
Utah Jazz vs. Houston Rockets Betting Prediction
Paul scored a game-high 27 points in game four, in which the Rockets defeated the Jazz 100-87, covering as 6-point favorites. He also put up 12 rebounds and six assists. The game finished with a total of 187 points, which was 24.5 points below the projected point total of 211.5 points. The Rockets had a better turnover percentage (12.0 vs. 14.8) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (19.6 vs. 16.7).
This showdown pits one of the league’s top offenses against one of its elite defenses. Houston currently ranks first in offensive efficiency and Utah is first in defensive efficiency.
Utah holds records of 53-39 straight up (SU) and 47-45 against the spread (ATS). Of the Jazz’s 92 games, 47 have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Houston owns records of 72-19 SU and 47-42-2 ATS. Rockets games tend to finish under the O/U total (56.0 percent).
Clint Capela has averaged 17.6 points, 12.6 rebounds and 2.4 blocks over the last five games for Houston.
Utah Jazz at Houston Rockets Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Jazz, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Utah is 23-23 ATS on the road with 25 overs, 19 unders and 2 pushes.
At home, Houston is 20-25-1 ATS with 24 unders, 21 overs and 1 push.
Houston is 36-3 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Utah is 37-7.
When scoring above 100 points, the Rockets are 69-14 and the Jazz are 43-13.
Utah ranks second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.7) while Houston ranks 27th (48.1).
The Rockets average 8.5 steals per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Jazz rank 25th in steals allowed per game (8.4).
Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (42.1) while Utah ranks 13th (29.6).
The Jazz rank third in fast break points allowed per game (10.0) while the Rockets rank 15th (11.7).
Houston ranks seventh in points off turnovers per game (17.1) while Utah ranks 17th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.8).
The Jazz rank first in assists allowed per game (19.7) while the Rockets rank 10th (22.3).
Houston ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while Utah ranks 11th (4.7).
The Jazz rank second in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while the Rockets rank seventh (11.6).
Utah ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (41.9) while Houston ranks sixth (42.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Utah is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders, 1 over and 1 push.
Houston is 4-1 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push over their last five games.
The Jazz have been outscored by an average of 7.0 points in their last five games. On the season, Utah has defeated opponents by an average of 3.7 points.
During their last five games, the Rockets have scored an average of 110.6 points per game (1.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 99.0 points per game (4.5 below their season average).
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