Two schools that like to keep the ball on the ground, Head Coach Derek Mason and the Vanderbilt Commodores (+26) are gearing up to take on their conference rival No. 2 Georgia Bulldogs at Sanford Stadium. SEC Network has the TV rights and the matchup is scheduled to get underway at 7:30 p.m. ET.
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview
Georgia is heavily favored in this matchup and is currently giving up 26 points to Vanderbilt. Multiple good in-game betting scenarios could exist during the match, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 52 points.
The Commodores have gained 0.0 units so far and are 3-2 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have recorded an O/U mark of 1-4. The Bulldogs have gained 2.0 units this season. The team is 2-2-1 ATS and has an even O/U record of 2-2.
The Commodores are 3-2 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against SEC opponents. The Bulldogs are 5-0 SU overall and 3-0 SU in conference play.
The Commodores enter after a 31-27 victory over Tennessee State last week. The passing game could’ve been more effective as Kyle Shurmur completed 22 passes on 29 attempts for 297 yards, three scores and two interceptions. Ke’Shawn Vaughn (146 yards on 17 rush attempts, one TD) and Khari Blasingame (88 yards on 10 carries) led the ground attack while Kalija Lipscomb (nine receptions, 174 yards, two TDs) and C.J. Bolar (seven catches, 71 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
Georgia just got a 38-12 win over Tennessee. Jake Fromm completed 16-of-22 passes for 185 yards. Elijah Holyfield (78 rushing yards on 16 attempts) and D’Andre Swift (50 yards on 12 carries, two TDs) handled the running game while Mecole Hardman (four receptions, 43 yards) and Riley Ridley (four catches, 36 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Vanderbilt’s run the ball on 51.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Georgia has a rush percentage of 64.8 percent. The Commodores have produced 163 rush yards/game and have eight touchdowns on the ground this year. The Dawgs are putting up 250 rush yards per game (236 in conference) and have 13 total rushing TDs.
If the results so far this season are any indication, then it appears the Dawgs should have an advantage in terms of effectiveness in the ground game, since their running backs has generated 6.0 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 3.6 YPC to opponents. The Commodores have recorded 4.8 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents.
The Commodores offensive scheme has averaged 251 yards in the air overall and has nine passing TDs so far. The Dawgs have recorded 220 pass yards per outing (217.3 in the SEC) and have 11 total pass scores.
Vanderbilt has let opponents run for an average of 154 yards and throw for 212 yards per game. The Georgia defense has given up 167.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 108.2 yards per game on the ground. The Dawgs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.23 to opponents, while the Commodores have given up a 5.62 ANY/A.
Offensively, Shurmur is up to 1,051 passing yards on the year. The signal-caller has completed 67 percent of his 121 attempts with eight scores through the air and three interceptions. Shurmur’s got an 8.57 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 5.86 over the past two outings.
In the home locker room, Jake Fromm has managed to complete 53-of-68 passes for 664 yards, six TDs and one INT. Fromm’s ANY/A sits at 9.32 for the season and 9.27 over his past two outings.
When these two teams faced each other last year, Georgia won easily 45-14.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Prediction: Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Georgia Bulldogs
SU Winner – Georgia, ATS Winner – Vanderbilt, O/U – Under
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Team Betting Notes
Georgia has lost one fumble this season while Vanderbilt has let five get away.
The Vanderbilt defense has twice as many sacks as Georgia this year (10 to five).
As a team, Vanderbilt has rushed for 4.70212765957447 yards per attempt over its past three contests and 5.2 over its last two.
Georgia has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.8 over its past two.
In its last three matches, Georgia is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Vanderbilt was favored by 29 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 51.5. The over cashed and Vanderbilt failed to cover in the 31-27 triumph over Tennessee State.
In its last three contests, Vanderbilt is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Georgia was favored by 31 points in its previous matchup and the O/U was set at 54. The under cashed and Georgia failed to cover in the 38-12 win over Tennessee.
+++++
