It will be a battle between A10 opponents when the Dayton Flyers (8-8, 2-2 A10) welcome the VCU Rams (11-6, 3-1 A10) to University of Dayton Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, January 12, 2018, and will air on ESPN2.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 146.5 points with Dayton set as a 2-point favorite.
VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyers Free Prediction
The Rams come in on a high note after topping the Duquesne Dukes in their last matchup, 78-67. The Rams made 21 of their 29 free throws (72.4 percent) and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 40.0 (above their season average of 31.8). Justin Tillman led the way for VCU, contributing 10 points and 17 rebounds.
The last time the Flyers played, they defeated the Richmond Spiders, 87-81. Dayton’s 0.702 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Richmond, who had a rate of 0.508. The Flyers’ mark was above their season average of 0.535. With 18 points and nine rebounds, Dayton’s Trey Landers had a good game.
From an effective field goal percentage perspective, Dayton figures to have a substantial edge. The elite Flyers offense ranks 66th in the NCAA in that metric at 0.545, while the VCU defense is ranked 194th in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.506).
Tillman has averaged 19.8 points and 12.0 rebounds over the last five games for VCU.
After splitting two games last season, these teams will battle for the first time this year. The Flyers won the most recent game 79-72. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Dayton’s biggest strengths. They had 28 free throw attempts, while VCU had 24.
VCU Rams vs. Dayton Flyers ATS Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Dayton, ATS Winner – Dayton, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
VCU ranks 58th in rebounds per game (38.6) while Dayton ranks 252nd (32.0).
The Flyers rank 81st in three pointers attempted per game (24.3) while the Rams rank 151st in three pointers allowed per game (22.6).
VCU averages 14.9 assists per game, which ranks 82nd in the nation. Dayton ranks 144th in assists allowed per game (13.9).
The Flyers rank 35th in blocks allowed per game (2.6) while the Rams rank 67th (3.2).
Bettings Trends:
The Rams’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.8, up from 4.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Flyers have scored an average of 74.0 points per game (2.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 70.4 points per game (0.3 below their season average).
