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Vegas Golden Knights vs. Edmonton Oilers Free Pick 12/1/18

Anne-Marie Sorvin-USA TODAY Sports

A game that features two teams on winning streaks, the Vegas Golden Knights and the Edmonton Oilers face off at Rogers Place. The puck drops at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 1, and fans at home can view this divisional matchup live on CBC Sports.

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Odds

Edmonton (-105) is playing the role of underdog to Vegas (-115), and the oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals. The odds for betting the total stand at -120 under, +100 over.

Vegas is 14-13 straight up (SU) and has lost 3.2 units for moneyline bettors this year. Through 27 regular season matches, 15 of its games have gone under the total, while 12 have gone over and none have pushed. The Knights are 7-9 SU as a road team in 2018-19.

Vegas has converted on 19.1 percent of its power play chances this year, a figure that’s right around league average. Additionally, it has the fourth-best penalty kill in the league, and it’s successfully killed off 83.5 percent of all penalties.

For the team as a whole, Vegas has been penalized just 3.4 times per game this season, and 4.1 per game over its past ten games. The team’s been forced to kill penalties just 8.0 minutes per game over their last five outings.

Averaging 24.1 saves per game with a .911 save percentage, Marc-Andre Fleury (14-9-1) has been the top option in goal for Vegas this season. If head coach Gerard Gallant chooses to rest him, however, the team could roll with Malcolm Subban (0-5 record, .859 save percentage, 4.02 goals against average).

Jonathan Marchessault and William Karlsson will both be relied on to facilitate things for the visiting Golden Knights. Marchessault (21 points) is up to 10 goals and 11 assists, and has recorded two or more points five times. Karlsson has eight goals and 12 assists to his name, and has registered at least one point in 13 games.

On the other side of the ice, Edmonton is 12-13 straight up (SU) and has lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors thus far. Through 25 regular season contests, 12 of its games have gone under the total, while 11 have gone over and just two have pushed. It’s 6-5 SU at home this season.

Edmonton has converted on 22.8 percent of its power play chances this season, a mark that’s good enough for 10th-best in the league. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 28th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 75.3 percent of all opponent power plays.

The Oilers have been penalized 4.0 times per game this season, and 3.0 per game over their last five home outings. The team has been forced to kill penalties just 6.0 minutes per game over their last five outings.

Cam Talbot (25.1 saves per game) has been the top option in goal for Edmonton. Talbot has five wins, 10 losses, and one OT loss to his credit and has recorded a poor .889 save percentage and 3.29 goals against average this year.

Connor McDavid (13 goals, 21 assists) will pace the offensive counter for the Oilers.

Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers Betting Picks

Pick: SU Winner – Golden Knights, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes

The total has gone under in three of Edmonton’s last five outings.

Edmonton’s attempted 31.2 shots per game overall this season (ranked 18th in the NHL), and 30.5 across their last 10 games.

The Golden Knights are 9-5 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 11-9 in games where they’re in the penalty box for fewer than 10 total minutes.

Edmonton skaters have created 10.4 takeaways per game over its last five home games, an improvement over its season average of 8.5 takeaways per game (ranked 9th in the league).

Vegas has scored 3.0 goals per game overall this season, but has raised it up to 4.6 per contest over the team’s five-game winning streak.

Vegas has averaged 7.8 takeaways per game over its last five road games, a drop-off from its season average of 10.8 takeaways per game (ranked third overall).

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Written by GMS Previews

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