Two of the least-penalized teams in the league, the Vegas Golden Knights and the Toronto Maple Leafs clash at Scotiabank Arena. The action gets started at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 6, and fans at home can see this East-West matchup live on AT&T SportsNet Rocky Mountain.
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
Toronto (-145) is currently the favorite over Vegas (+125) and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 6 goals. The line for betting that total stands at -125 for the over and +105 for the under.
The Maple Leafs are 9-5 straight up (SU) and have earned moneyline bettors 0.3 units this year. That winning percentage, ranked third in the league so far in the early season, is right in line with what the team managed during last year’s regular season (49-33). Of the team’s 14 games this season, four have gone under the total, while four have gone over and none have pushed. The team is 3-5 SU at home this season.
Toronto’s converted on 29.7 percent of its power play chances this season, a figure that’s good enough for fourth-best in the league. On the other hand, its penalty kill is rated eighth overall, and it’s successfully killed off 84.6 percent of all penalties.
Toronto, as a collective unit, has been called for penalties just 3.0 times per game this season. Last year, that number was at 3.3, the second-best mark in the league. After serving an average of 7.2 penalty minutes per game a year ago, the team’s had to stave off opponent power plays for 6.4 minutes per outing this season.
Averaging 27.5 saves per game with a .924 save percentage, Frederik Andersen (7-5) has been the primary option in goal for the Maple Leafs this season. If head coach Mike Babcock chooses to give him the night off, however, the team could go with the undefeated Garret Sparks (2-0 record, .892 save percentage, 3.49 goals against average).
Morgan Rielly and Mitchell Marner will each spearhead the attack for the Maple Leafs. Rielly (18 points) has tallied six goals and 12 assists and has recorded multiple points on four different occasions this year. Marner has four goals and 14 assists to his credit and has recorded a point in nine contests.
On the other hand, Vegas is 6-8 straight up (SU) and has lost 5.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline thus far. A total of nine of its matches have gone under the total, while five have gone over and none have pushed. As an away team so far, Vegas is 2-5 SU.
Vegas has converted on just 12.5 percent of its power play opportunities this year, a mark that places it in the bottom- overall among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 11th overall and it’s successfully killed off 82.1 percent of all opponent power plays.
Vegas’ skaters have been penalized only 3.2 times per game this season, a number that’s fairly close to the 3.6 penalties per game given up a year ago. After serving an average of 7.9 penalty minutes per game a season ago the team’s had to stave off opponent power plays for 7.4 minutes per matchup this year.
Marc-Andre Fleury (2.51 goals against average and .901 save percentage) has been the main option in goal for Vegas. Fleury is averaging 22.0 saves per game and has six wins, six losses, and one overtime loss to his credit.
Leading the offensive attack for the visiting Golden Knights will be Jonathan Marchessault (six goals, seven assists) and William Karlsson (three goals, seven assists).
Vegas Golden Knights at Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Predictions
Prediction: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in each of Toronto’s last five games.
Penalties and power plays could prove to be critical tonight. The Golden Knights are 5-3 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 4-7 in games where they’re in the box for fewer than 10 penalty minutes, total. The Maple Leafs are 3-1 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 7-5 when they’re in the box for less than 10 minutes.
After posting a 4-3 record in games decided by a shootout last year, Vegas is off to a 1-1 start in shootouts this season. Toronto was 7-2 in shootouts last year and has yet to participate in one this time around.
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