Match of the day on Saturday in the German Bundesliga Round 35 will be played at the Volkswagen Arena between the VfL Wolfsburg and the FC Bayern Munich. Both teams had some difficulties lately with the host losing three of their last four games in the league and Bayern being eliminated from the Champions League and the German Cup (DFB Pokal). The things are slowly heating up in the German Bundesliga so look for an exciting finish of the season. As always, we have prepared for you the analysis of this match in order to get some money out of it so let’s take a closer look.
VfL WOLFSBURG vs. BAYERN MUNICH
3-Way: 1: VfL Wolfsburg +790 Home; X: +424 Draw; Bayern Munich -167 Away
Spread +1.5: VfL Wolfsburg -118; Bayern Munich +112
Total 3: Over -103; Under +102
VfL WOLFSBURG
The VfL Wolfsburg team got in trouble in the last couple of weeks in the German Bundesliga as they’ve managed to lose three out of their last four games. The result of that is a big slide in the German Bundesliga table (33 points in 30 games) and now they rank 14th with only one point more than FC Augsburg who ranks below the relegation line. Things are not looking good now because their next match-up is against the defending champions and current leaders Bayern Munich.
At home, Wolfsburg is 5-2-8 this season with 14-18 goal difference (30-43 overall) and they rank 16th in the home league table with 17 of 45 possible points earned. They are 3-2-3 in last eight games and 2-0-2 in last four home matches. Team scores 0.93 goals and concede 1.20 goals per game (1.00-1.43 overall) and 47% of their home games had over 2.5 goals. 50% of their total games had over 2.5 goals while only 20% of their total matches had over 3.5 goals (13% of home games had over 3.5 goals in total). 87% of their home games had under 4.5 goals and only 13% of their home matches had over 2.5 goals at half-time.
Both teams scored in 40% of Wolfsburg’s home matches and they managed to score in both halves in only 7% of their home matches (in 20% of home matches they conceded in both halves). Most common results at home are 1:2 loss, 0:1 loss and 1:0 win (all occurred three times) while most common score at the half-time was 0:0 (occurred six times).
Striker Mario Gomez leads the team in scoring this season with 14 goals while Yunus Malli has seven in his account. Malli is the team’s leading assister with eight so far while Daniel Caliguri collected four so far. Passing segment belongs to Ricardo Rodriguez and Luiz Gustavo with 1002 and 945 total passes. Goalies Koen Casteels (16 appearances) and Diego Benaglio (14 appearances) collected 97 saves and they have 10 games with clean sheets combined.
Jeffrey Bruma (Knee) and Victor Osimhen (Meniscus) should be back in a few weeks while Paul-Georges N’Tep (Thigh) is day to day. Ricardo Rodriguez (Foot), Ashkan Dejagah (Calf) and Ismail Azzaoui (Cruciate ligament) are back in training.
FC BAYERN MUNICH
The Bayern Munich team received another blow on Wednesday as they got eliminated in the DFB Pokal semifinal game in front of their own crowd at Allianz Arena by the biggest rivals, Borussia Dortmund, 2:3. Dortmund looked poised from the beginning and Marco Reus scored an opener after 19 minutes of play before Javier Martinez equalized in 28th minute.
Bayern turned the things over completely before the half-time as Mats Hummel scored four minutes before the rest. In second half Borussia’s players outplayed the Munich team and with two scores by Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Ousmane Dembele secured the trip to Berlin where they’ll face Eintracht Frankfurt at Olympiastadion DFB Pokal finale. Despite the recent flops in the Cup and Champions League, Bayern is still unchallenged in the German Bundesliga and they are lonely at the top of the table with 70 points in 30 games (eight more than second ranked RB Leipzig).
They are 5-2-1 in the last eight games and 2-1-1 in the last four road games in the German Bundesliga campaign. Team is 10-3-2 this season on the road with 23-9 goal difference (73-17 overall) and they rank first in the road league table with 33 of 45 possible points earned. They score 1.53 and concede 0.60 goals per match on the road (2.43-0.57 overall) and 60% of their road games had under 2.5 goals while 80% of their away matches had under 3.5 goals in total.
No road match this season had over 4.5 goals in total and only 7% of their away games had over 2.5 goals at half-time. Bayern scored in both halves in 33% of their away games and conceded in both halves in only 7% of their road matches. Most common result on the road is a 0:1 win (occurred three times) while most common score at the half-time was 0:0 (occurred six times).
Robert Lewandowski tops the team this season with 26 goals while Arjen Robben has 10 in his account. Leading assisters are Thomas Muller and Franck Ribery with 10 each while passing segment belongs to Thiago Alcantara and Mats Hummels with 2173 and 1742 total passes. Goalkeepers Manuel Neuer (26 appearances) and Sven Ulreich (four appearances) collected 61 save and have 15 games with 15 clean sheets combined.
Only injured player at the moment is a Goalkeeper Manuel Neuer (broken foot) who will be out for the remainder of the season.
VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern Munich – Match Prediction
Bayern Munich won 11 of last 13 match-ups against WfL Wolfsburg with one draw and only one win going the other way. Most recent Wolfsburg’s victory occurred on January 30th, 2015 when the Wolfs outplayed the Bavarian team with 4:1 at the Volkswagen Arena. Munich scored 33 goals opposing Wolfsburg’s nine during this stretch and 53.8% of those matches had over 2.5 goals in total.
First match-up of this season went Bayern’s way, 5:0 at the Allianz Arena. Wolfsburg needs the points desperately and it’s hard to predict how the Munich team will respond after another midweek disappointment but one thing is for sure and that’s the fact that games between these two teams almost always go over in goals and that’s where I would put my money on. Therefore, I am taking the Over 3.5 goals which is offered at -103 and I am also taking the both teams to score, offered at -111.
My Pick: Over 3.5 goals in total (-103)
Additional Pick: Both teams to score YES (-111)
