Two schools that prefer to run the football, Head Coach David Cutcliffe and the Duke Blue Devils (-13) are prepared to take on their ACC foe Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Brooks Field at Wallace Wade Stadium. Interested parties are able to catch the action live on CHSS and this daytime matchup is scheduled to kick off at 12:30 p.m. ET.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview
In this Saturday Atlantic Coast game, Duke is projected as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 13 points. The Demon Deacons are also receiving +360 moneyline odds while the Blue Devils are -525. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 60.5 points. It looks like this showdown should present some in-game betting scenarios.
Each team has been profitable this season as the Demon Deacons have recorded 5.7 units while the Blue Devils are up 1.1 units.
The Demon Deacons are 5-6 straight up (SU), including 2-5 SU against ACC opponents. The Blue Devils are 7-4 SU overall and 3-4 SU in conference play.
The Demon Deacons are looking to get back on track after a 34-13 loss to Pittsburgh last week. Jamie Newman completed only 15-of-30 passes for 206 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Cade Carney (62 yards on 16 rush attempts) led the running attack while Greg Dortch (four receptions, 33 yards) and Alex Bachman (four catches, 60 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
A week ago, Clemson took care of this Duke team by a score of 35-6. Daniel Jones completed 24-of-43 passes for 158 yards. Jones (7 rushing yards on 12 attempts) and Deon Jackson (51 yards on 11 carries) mounted the running game while T.J. Rahming (nine receptions, 38 yards) and Helm (three catches, 56 yards) led all Duke pass-catchers in the loss.
Wake Forest has run the ball on 57.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Duke has a rush percentage of 50.7 percent. The Demon Deacons have run for 203 yards per game (including 188 per game against Atlantic Coast opponents) and have 15 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Blue Devils are putting up 168 rush yards per game (138 in conference) and have 16 total rushing TDs.
The Deacs offensive scheme has averaged 233 yards in the air overall (223 per game versus conference opposition) and has 20 passing TDs so far. The Blue Devils have produced 238 pass yards per outing (254.7 against ACC foes) and have 25 total pass scores.
On the defensive side of the ball, Wake Forest has allowed 199 rush yards and 286 pass yards per game. The Duke defense has allowed 198.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 211.6 yards per game on the ground. The Blue Devils are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.92 to opponents, while the Demon Deacons have given up a 7.50 ANY/A.
Offensively, Newman is up to 281 passing yards this year, and has connected on 49 percent of his 45 attempts with one scores through the air and three interceptions. Newman’s got a 3.21 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.86 over the last two games.
Sage Surratt (436 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Cade Carney (663 rush yards, six rush TDs) and Alex Bachman (295 receiving yards, four TDs) have each played key roles of late.
Daniel Jones has completed 159-of-261 passes for 1,745 yards, 13 TDs and five INTs for Duke. His ANY/A stands at 5.88 for the season and 4.76 across his past two outings.
We also expect the Duke offense to try for a balanced attack this Saturday. Daniel Jones (148 rushing yards, one rush TD, zero receiving yards this season), Deon Jackson (698 rush yards, six rush TDs, 187 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and T.J. Rahming (458 receiving yards, six receiving TDs) have combined to account for 494 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns over the past couple of games.
When these two schools faced each other a year ago, Duke earned the win 31-23.
RELATED: Week 13 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Free Pick: Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Duke Blue Devils
SU Winner – Wake Forest, ATS Winner – Wake Forest, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Wake Forest defense has 20 sacks on the year while Duke has 19.
Duke has lost seven fumbles in 2018 while Wake Forest has let six get away.
The Demon Deacons offense has tallied four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Blue Devils have put up 10 such plays.
The Wake Forest defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Duke has given up four such plays.
Both defenses have produced 17 rushing plays of 20 or more yards and 57 running plays of 10+ yards.
Both teams have allowed 20 rushing plays of 20 or more yards. The Demon Deacons have given up 73 running plays of 10+ yards while the Blue Devils have given up 66 such plays.
The O/U for Duke’s last outing was set at 60.5. The under cashed in the 35-6 loss to Clemson.
Over its last three contests, Duke is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
In its last three matches, Wake Forest is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
The Over/Under for Wake Forest’s previous game was set at 62.5. The under cashed in the team’s 34-13 loss to Pittsburgh.
Wake Forest has produced 3.4 yards per carry across its last three games and 3.3 over its last two.
Duke has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.3 over its past two.
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