In a matchup between two squads that are nationally ranked in the Top 17 overall, the No. 7 Washington Huskies (-3) are facing off against their conference nemesis Oregon Ducks at Autzen Stadium. ABC is scheduled to have the TV rights and kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET.
Washington Huskies at Oregon Ducks Betting Preview
Oregon is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 3 points. The Huskies are also receiving -155 moneyline odds while the Ducks are +135. There should be some decent live betting opportunities while this contest is underway.
This game’s opening line was originally set at 4 but has moved a bit recently.
The Huskies are 2-4 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 2.0 units so far. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 1-5. The Ducks have gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-2.
The Huskies have gone 5-1 straight up (SU), including 3-0 SU against conference opponents. The Ducks are 4-1 SU overall and 1-1 SU in conference play.
The Huskies just got a 31-24 win over UCLA last week in which Jake Browning completed 18 passes for 265 yards, along with a score and a pick. Myles Gaskin (116 rushing yards on 27 attempts, two TDs) and the signal-caller Browning (49 yards on 13 carries, one TD) led the running attack. Aaron Fuller (five receptions, 100 yards, one TD) and Gaskin (four catches, 14 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Oregon just earned a 42-24 win over California. The defense allowed the Golden Bears to run for 241 yards on 41 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Brandon McIlwain had a good showing in the loss for California, accounting for 123 rushing yards and a score on 15 attempts. For Oregon, Justin Herbert completed 16-of-22 passes for 225 yards and two touchdowns. Travis Dye (115 rushing yards on 20 attempts, one TD) and CJ Verdell (106 yards on nine carries) spearheaded the running game as Dillon Mitchell (seven receptions, 105 yards, one TD) and Verdell (three catches, 18 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Washington has run the ball on 57.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oregon has an overall rush percentage of 61.1 percent. The Huskies have produced 171 rush yards per game (including 180 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have 12 scores on the ground this year. The Ducks are totaling 216 rush yards per game (219 in conference) and have 14 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Ducks should hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has generated 4.7 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.0 to opponents. The Huskies have ran for 4.3 yards per carry while allowing 3.9 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Huskies offense has logged 272 yards per game in the air overall (207 per game versus conference opposition) and has 10 passing scores so far. The Ducks have put up 288 pass yards per game (285.5 in the Pac-12) and have 15 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Washington seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 130 yards and pass for 175 yards per game. The Oregon defense has given up 238.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 108.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Huskies are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.72 to opponents, while the Ducks have allowed a 5.58 ANY/A.
Offensively, Browning is up to 1,231 passing yards on the year, and has completed 62 percent of his 141 attempts with eight scores through the air and five interceptions. Browning’s got a 7.37 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 9.39 over the past two games.
We’re looking for Huskies to maintain tempo by feeding their running backs early and often. Along with Aaron Fuller (467 yards, two TDs), Myles Gaskin (473 rush yards, four rush TDs) and Salvon Ahmed (172 rush yards) have been significant focal points in the offensive scheme for Washington.
In the home locker room, Justin Herbert has managed to complete 62-of-103 passes for 1,065 yards, 14 TDs and four INTs. Herbert’s ANY/A sits at 10.80 for the season and 9.46 across his last two games.
The Ducks will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Dillon Mitchell (203 receiving yards, two receiving TDs), CJ Verdell (305 rush yards, one rush TD) and Travis Dye (237 rush yards, two rush TDs) have gotten a multitude of looks recently.
When these two teams faced each other a year ago, Washington knocked Oregon off by five touchdowns 38-3.
RELATED: Week 7 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Prediction: Washington Huskies vs. Oregon Ducks
SU Winner – Washington, ATS Winner – Washington
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
The Oregon defense has sacked opposing QBs 15 times this season. Washington has registered just eight sacks.
Oregon has lost four fumbles in 2018 while Washington has lost two.
The Huskies offense has registered five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Ducks have put up six such plays.
The Washington defense has allowed zero pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Oregon has given up eight such plays.
The Washington offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oregon has created eight such runs.
The Huskies defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Ducks have given up five such runs.
Oregon was the underdog by 2 points in its previous match and the O/U was set at 57.5. The over cashed and Oregon covered in the team’s 42-24 win over California.
In its last three matches, Oregon is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
In its last three matches, Washington is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Washington was getting 22 points in its previous game and the Over/Under going into it was 53.5. The over cashed and Washington covered in the 31-24 victory over UCLA.
Washington has averaged 4.23664122137405 yards per rush attempt over its last three contests and 4.2 over its last two.
Oregon has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.8 over its past two.
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