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Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers Free Pick 04/21/18

Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will do battle against the Washington Nationals at Dodger Stadium. This NL showdown will get underway at 9:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to televise the game.

Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles (+110) is coming into this one as the underdog to Washington (-120) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 7 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at +125 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -145 for the Dodgers +1.5 runs.

The Dodgers are 8-10 SU and 7-10 ATS. The team’s lost 6.7 units for moneyline bettors and 3.1 units against the spread (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in all seven of them. The Nationals are 10-10 SU and have gone 8-11 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.5 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 4.0 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 10-7 so far in 2018. Washington has an over/under record of 9-8-2.

Stephen Strasburg will get the nod for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Strasburg is 2-1 with a 3.08 ERA and 26 strikeouts. He has yet to face Los Angeles this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 0.75 ERA and 16 strikeouts.

The Dodgers are handing the ball to lefty Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-0, 2.87 ERA), who has 19 strikeouts and six walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.96. Ryu made two starts against the Nationals in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record with a 3.09 ERA and nine strikeouts.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.60, a WHIP of 1.11 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.3. The bullpen has a 4.05 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.7 K/9.

The Los Angeles offense has put up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 7.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .268/.368/.437 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Catcher Yasmani Grandal and left fielder Matt Kemp have led the Dodgers’ batters so far. Grandal is slashing .345/.424/.586 with three home runs, 14 RBIs and nine runs scored, while Kemp is hitting .340 with three homers, 10 RBIs and seven runs.

For the visiting squad, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.23 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 10.08 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.68, along with a WHIP of 1.11.

The Nationals offense has slashed .237/.337/.392 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Bryce Harper and shortstop Trea Turner have led Washington’s hitters. Harper is slashing .286/.467/.683 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Turner (.247/.370/.338) has produced one homers, four RBIs, nine runs and eight stolen bases.

Harper did not do especially well against lefties last season. Over 129 plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .311/.357/.445 (his overall season line was .317/.411/.596).

The Nationals have lost 5.3 units and are 1-4 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to two that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 6.5 units and are 4-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to two that’ve gone under.

Washington Nationals at Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Nationals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

Washington has averaged 19.9 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.

The Nationals have won three of their last four games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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