The Washington Nationals will head south to take on their NL East foe Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The matchup will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the game.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Vegas is listing Miami (+160) as the underdog to Washington (-170). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds posted at +105 for over 8 runs and -125 for under 8. Runline odds sit at -120 for taking the Nationals -1.5 runs and +100 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Nationals are 50-51 SU and have gone 46-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 20.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.2 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 44-59 SU and 56-47 ATS. The team has gained 5.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 1.9 units ATS.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 54-47-2 in 2018. Washington has been a strong under bet with a total record of 40-58-2.
The right-handed Stephen Strasburg is the projected starter for the visiting Nationals. Strasburg is 6-7 with a 3.90 ERA and 101 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are sending righty Dan Straily (4-4, 4.02 ERA) to the mound. Straily has 63 punchouts and 37 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.31. Straily is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA in one start against Washington this year.
Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.04 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.23 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.69, along with a WHIP of 1.25.
The Nationals offense has slashed .243/.323/.402 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who have combined to belt 27 home runs. Turner is slashing .261/.335/.397 with 12 home runs, 40 RBIs, 56 runs and 22 stolen bases. Rendon (.284/.347/.514) has produced 15 homers, 47 RBIs and 47 runs scored.
For the home team, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 4.60 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.00 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 34 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.44 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.83.
The Miami hitters have put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .231/.301/.373 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Marlins’ offense has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .287/.333/.406 with eight home runs, 40 RBIs and 60 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .285/.365/.419 with eight homers, 49 RBIs and 59 runs.
The Nationals have lost 5.8 units and are 36-36 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 28 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 7.3 units and are 39-37 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 34 that’ve gone under.
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in only two of Miami’s last seven games.
Washington has posted 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
