The Washington Nationals will be facing off against their division rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the action.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+155) as the underdog to Washington (-165). The total is sitting at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at -115 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -105 for the Marlins +1.5.
The Marlins are 77-72 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 59-91 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors and 10.8 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 76-75 SU and have gone 71-79 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 22.6 units for moneyline bettors and 11.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Marlins games have an over/under record of 75-69-5 in 2018. Washington has been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-78-3.
The right-handed Stephen Strasburg is getting the nod for the visiting Nationals. Strasburg is 8-7 with a 3.87 ERA and 133 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.
The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of righty Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 1.42 ERA), who’s got 14 strikeouts and 10 walks, as well as a WHIP of 0.95. Alcantara has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.91 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K-per-9 of 8.47.
The Nationals offense has slashed .252/.333/.416 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who have combined to blast 38 home runs. The speedy Turner is slashing .267/.336/.402 with 17 home runs, 64 RBIs, 93 runs and 39 stolen bases, while Rendon (.304/.369/.520) is up to 21 homers, 77 RBIs and 81 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 4.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.45 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 69 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.45 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.35.
The Miami hitters are putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .224/.293/.364 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ offense this year. Castro is hitting .281/.332/.407 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 75 runs scored, and Anderson’s line sits at .269/.352/.393 with 10 homers, 59 RBIs and 81 runs.
The Nationals have lost 6.8 units and are 53-56 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 49 of those games, as opposed to 58 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 0.9 units and are 56-57 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 56 of those games, compared to 52 that went under the total.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Washington has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Miami has 14 XBH over its last five.
Washington has recorded 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.6 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit eight over their last 10.
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