The Washington Nationals will face the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. This NL matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the game.
Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Washington (+100) is entering this game as the underdog to Milwaukee (-110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). You can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Nationals +1.5 runs (-210) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+175).
The Brewers are 57-45 straight up (SU) and 52-49 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 8.9 units for moneyline bettors and 0.1 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Nationals are 49-50 SU and have gone 45-53 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 18.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 11.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Milwaukee games have a 45-53-3 over/under record in 2018. Washington has also been a solid under bet with a total record of 40-56-2.
Jeremy Hellickson will get the start for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Hellickson (4-1, 3.29 ERA) has racked up 49 punchouts in 62 innings so far. He has yet to face Milwaukee this year, but he made two starts against the Brewers in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record against them with a 7.20 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
The Brewers will put the ball in the right hand of Junior Guerra (6-6, 3.23 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), who’s got 96 punchouts and 39 walks this season. Guerra did not record a start against the Nationals in 2017.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 3.82 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.37 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .230/.321/.364 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain. Yelich is slashing .302/.370/.488 with 12 home runs, 50 RBIs, 62 runs and 13 steals, and Cain’s line sits at .290/.390/.417 with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 50 runs and 18 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.09 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.22 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.62, along with a K/9 of 8.70.
The Nationals offense has slashed .245/.324/.403 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon continue to lead Washington’s hitters. Turner is slashing .263/.338/.401 with 12 home runs, 40 RBIs, 56 runs and 22 stolen bases. Rendon is slashing .289/.353/.526 with 15 homers, 47 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 3.8 units and are 35-35 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 41 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 10.2 units and are 43-36 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under.
Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Washington has logged 11 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Milwaukee has 12 XBH over its last five.
Washington has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.0 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit six over their last 10.
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