The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to the Washington Nationals at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this NL showdown.
Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-125) is hosting this one as the favorite over Washington (+115) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Nationals +1.5 runs (-180) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+160).
The Brewers are 58-45 straight up (SU) and 53-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.9 units for moneyline bettors and 1.1 units (ATS). Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Nationals are 49-51 SU and have gone 45-54 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 19.7 units for moneyline bettors and 12.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Brewers games have an over/under record of 45-54-3 in 2018. The Nationals have also been a strong under bet with a total record of 40-57-2.
The right-handed Tanner Roark is the projected starter for Washington. Roark (3-12, 4.87 ERA) has recorded 98 strikeouts in 114.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 1.29 ERA and 10 strikeouts over seven innings).
The Brewers will put the ball in the hands of Freddy Peralta (4-1, 2.65 ERA, 0.96 WHIP), who has 50 strikeouts and 18 walks. Peralta did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have yielded 3.9 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 3.79 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.34 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.
Milwaukee’s offense has put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .247/.324/.380 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led the charge for the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is hitting .308/.376/.500 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs, 63 runs and 13 steals, and Cain is batting .298 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 52 runs and 18 stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.10 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.19 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.62, along with a WHIP of 1.26.
Nationals hitters have slashed .244/.323/.402 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who’ve collectively blasted 27 home runs. Turner is slashing .263/.338/.401 with 12 home runs, 40 RBIs, 56 runs and 22 steals. Rendon (.288/.351/.521) is up to 15 homers, 47 RBIs and 47 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 10.2 units and are 43-36 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 32 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under.
Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in four of Washington’s last seven contests.
The Nationals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit seven over their last 10.
Milwaukee has recorded 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.6 over its last five.
The Nationals have lost three of their last four games SU.
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