The Washington Nationals will pay a visit to Flushing to take on their division rival New York Mets at Citi Field. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Washington (-145) as the favorite over New York (+135). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 or the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at +100 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -120 for the Mets +1.5.
The Mets are 56-71 straight up (SU) and 59-66 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.5 units for moneyline bettors and 12.3 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Nationals are 64-64 SU and have gone 61-66 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 23.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 7.5 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in six of those seven.
Mets games have a 56-63-6 over/under record in 2018. Washington has also been a good under bet with a total record of 56-68-3.
Gio Gonzalez is getting the start for the visiting Nationals. The southpaw Gonzalez is 7-10 with a 4.51 ERA and 118 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 11 strikeouts and a 2.53 ERA against New York this year (two starts).
The Mets are sending lefty Jason Vargas (3-8, 7.67 ERA) to the mound. Vargas has 47 strikeouts and 23 walks to his name, as well as a 1.72 WHIP. Vargas has yet to face the Nationals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.
As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.96 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.67 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 53 games against NL East opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.86 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.56.
The New York hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .251/.295/.391 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ batters this year. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario’s line sits at .242/.285/.362 with six homers, 40 RBIs, 55 runs and 14 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.95 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.94 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.88, along with a WHIP of 1.24.
The Nationals offense has slashed .251/.330/.416 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Washington’s offensive production has been fueled by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who’ve collectively launched 31 home runs. The speedy Turner is slashing .269/.336/.409 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 78 runs and 32 steals, while Rendon is hitting .292/.353/.497 with 16 homers, 62 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
The Nationals have lost 18.1 units and are 13-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over’s hit in 16 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Washington has tallied 21 extra-base hits over its last five outings. New York has 13 XBH over its last five.
New York has posted 29.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
Both teams have hit 12 home runs over their last 10 games.
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