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Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview 08/29/18

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies are squaring off against the Washington Nationals at Citizens Bank Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the action and the game will get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Washington (+110) is coming into this one as the underdog to Philadelphia (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds coming in at Nationals +1.5 runs (-190) and Phillies -1.5 runs (+165).

The Phillies are 70-62 straight up (SU) and 64-67 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 6.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 12.3 units (ATS). Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals have gone 67-66 SU this year and are 63-69 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 25.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.2 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 57-69-5 in 2018. The Nationals have also been a good under bet with a total record of 57-72-3.

Gio Gonzalez is getting the start for the visiting Nationals. The left-handed Gonzalez is 7-11 with a 4.35 ERA and 120 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).

The Phillies will turn to righty Jake Arrieta (9-9, 3.37 ERA), who has 106 strikeouts and 45 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Arrieta is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.45 ERA over two starts against Washington this year.

Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.78 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.08 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 53 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.86.

The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .286/.346/.491 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that span.

Outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have paced the Phillies’ offense this year. Herrera is hitting .268/.322/.448 with 21 home runs, 65 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Hernandez is batting .257 with 11 homers, 41 RBIs, 81 runs and 16 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.88 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.85 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.89, along with a WHIP of 1.23.

Nationals hitters have slashed .251/.330/.415 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon continue to lead Washington’s offense. The speedy Turner is hitting .267/.334/.404 with 15 home runs, 53 RBIs, 80 runs and 33 stolen bases. Rendon is hitting .299/.358/.504 with 17 homers, 64 RBIs and 62 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 6.5 units and are 49-46 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 1.0 units and are 14-16 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 14 of those games, compared to 15 which went under the total.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The under has hit in three of Philadelphia’s last seven games.

The Nationals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.

Washington has recorded 22.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.8 over its last five.

The Phillies have lost four of their last five games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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