The Philadelphia Phillies are set to host their NL East rival Washington Nationals at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to showcase the action.
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Vegas is listing Washington (+110) as the underdog to Philadelphia (-120). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. Runline odds sit at -190 for betting the Nationals +1.5 runs and +165 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Nationals are 41-38 SU and are 38-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.2 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 4.3 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 43-36 SU and 34-44 ATS. They’ve gained 6.5 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 17.0 units ATS. Philadelphia has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 36-38-4 so far in 2018. Washington has been a decent under bet with a total record of 31-45-2.
Erick Fedde will get the start for the Nationals. The right-handed Fedde (0-3, 5.32 ERA) has racked up 16 punchouts in 22 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies are handing the ball to righty Nick Pivetta (4-6, 4.06 ERA), who has 101 punchouts and 24 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.23. Pivetta is 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 12.00 ERA across two starts against Washington this year.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitchers have given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 3.71 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.19 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 29 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.36 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.33.
The Philadelphia hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .224/.305/.378 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ hitters have been led by right fielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez. Herrera is hitting .291/.347/.482 with 13 home runs, 45 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Hernandez is hitting .268 with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 56 runs and 12 steals.
For the visiting squad, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.50 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 9.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.90, along with a K-per-9 of 8.90.
The Nationals offense has slashed .237/.317/.391 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Washington’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. The speedy Turner is slashing .264/.347/.398 with eight home runs, 27 RBIs, 43 runs and 21 stolen bases. Rendon (.283/.350/.496) has produced nine homers, 31 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
The Nationals have gained 3.5 units and are 29-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 6.6 units and are 26-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under.
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Washington has tallied 12 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Philadelphia has 13 XBH over its last five.
The Nationals have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.
Washington has posted 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.8 over its last five.
The Nationals have dropped five of their last six games SU.
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