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Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants Free Pick 04/23/18

Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals will head west to take on the San Francisco Giants at AT&T Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise this NL showdown and the first pitch is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Odds

Vegas is listing San Francisco (+105) as the underdog to Washington (-115). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can take the over for +105 or the under for -125. The game’s runline odds stand at +130 for taking the Nationals -1.5 runs and -150 for the Giants +1.5.

The Giants are 9-12 SU and 13-7 ATS. The team’s lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors while earning 4.8 units against the spread (ATS). San Francisco has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals are 10-12 SU and have gone 9-12 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.3 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the year and 4.0 units ATS. Washington’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven.

San Francisco games have a 9-11 over/under record so far in 2018. The Nationals have an over/under record of 10-9-2.

Southpaw Gio Gonzalez is the projected starter for the visiting Nationals. Gonzalez is 2-1 with a 2.49 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Giants this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 4.26 ERA and six strikeouts across 6.1 innings).

The Giants are putting the ball in the hands of righty Chris Stratton (1-1, 2.22 ERA), who has 19 strikeouts and seven walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.90. Stratton only made one start against the Nationals in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and 10 strikeouts across six and 2-third innings).

San Francisco’s pitchers have given up 3.6 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.25, a WHIP of 1.13 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 3.52 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The San Francisco hitters have put up 3.1 runs per contest, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .243/.302/.429 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Brandon Belt and second baseman Joe Panik have led the Giants’ batters this year. Belt is slashing .288/.386/.576 with five home runs, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored, and Panik’s line sits at .276/.345/.421 with 21 hits, four RBIs and nine runs.

Belt seemed to have some trouble hitting left-handed pitchers at home in 2017, slashing .179/.276/.299 in 76 such plate appearances (his total season line was .241/.355/.469).

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.27 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.16 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.78, along with a WHIP of 1.10.

Nationals hitters have slashed .232/.331/.382 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Bryce Harper and Matt Adams have led Washington’s hitters. Harper is hitting .275/.460/.638 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Adams (.219/.375/.469) has produced two homers, four RBIs and four runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .319/.438/.681 across 176 such plate appearances, Harper seemed to enjoy hitting righties on the road in 2017 (compared to his total season slash line of .317/.411/.596).

The Nationals have lost 1.1 units and are 7-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Giants have netted 1.8 units and are 9-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in eight of those games, compared to five which went under the total.

Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Giants, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – UNDER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Nationals have lost three of their last four games SU.

San Francisco has recorded 19.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.

The Nationals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Giants have hit 11 over their last 10.

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