The Washington Nationals will take on the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to broadcast this interleague showdown. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:07 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals vs. Toronto Blue Jays Odds
Toronto (+110) is the home-team underdog to Washington (-120) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Runline odds sit at +125 for taking the Nationals -1.5 runs and -145 for the Blue Jays +1.5.
The Nationals have gone 37-30 SU this year and are 34-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 1.3 units ATS. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 32-38 SU and 32-37 ATS. They’ve lost 8.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.4 units ATS.
Blue Jays games have a 31-30-8 over/under record so far in 2018. The Nationals have been a good under bet with a total record of 26-38-2.
Right-hander Tanner Roark will get the nod for the visiting Nationals. Roark (3-7, 3.63 ERA) has recorded 70 strikeouts in 84.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Blue Jays this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Blue Jays are going with righty Sam Gaviglio (2-2, 3.66 ERA), who’s got 29 punchouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a 1.16 WHIP. Gaviglio only made one start against the Nationals in 2017 (0-1, 1.50 ERA across six innings).
As a unit, Toronto’s pitchers have yielded 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.89 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.93 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
Toronto’s hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .206/.263/.342 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar have led the Blue Jays’ offense this year. Solarte is hitting .256/.310/.470 with 14 home runs, 40 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Pillar’s line is .251/.287/.422 with seven homers, 27 RBIs, 33 runs and nine stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.14 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 9.85 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.66, along with a WHIP of 1.08.
The Nationals offense has slashed .235/.316/.393 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Washington’s offense has been sparked by shortstop Trea Turner and right fielder Bryce Harper, who collectively have belted 26 home runs. The speedy Turner is slashing .257/.340/.386 with seven home runs, 25 RBIs, 37 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Harper (.221/.361/.489) is up to 19 homers, 43 RBIs, 41 runs and six stolen bases.
The Nationals have gained 10.5 units and are 25-18 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 18 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 1.0 units and are 19-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve cashed the under.
Washington Nationals at Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in four of Washington’s last seven outings.
The Nationals have lost four of their last five games SU.
Toronto has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.4 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 14 over their last 10.
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