The Washington Nationals are set to face the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this NL showdown.
Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Washington (-120) as the favorite over San Diego (+110). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds listed at -105 for over 7.5 runs and -115 for under 7.5. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at +125 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -145 for the Padres +1.5.
The Nationals have gone 20-17 SU this year and are 18-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.5 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, despite having gained 0.7 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 13-24 SU and 15-21 ATS. The team’s lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 11.6 units ATS.
San Diego games have an over/under record of 17-17-2 so far in 2018. The Nationals have an over/under record of 17-17-2.
Gio Gonzalez will get the start for the visiting Nationals. The southpaw Gonzalez is 4-2 with a 2.33 ERA and 42 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 0.00 ERA and eight strikeouts across six and two-third innings).
The Padres are putting the ball in the left hand of Joey Lucchesi (3-2, 3.13 ERA), who has 40 strikeouts and 13 walks this season as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Lucchesi did not pitch in the majors last season.
Washington’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.12 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 10.08 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.67, along with a WHIP of 1.08 and a K-per-9 of 9.58.
The Nationals offense has slashed .242/.338/.407 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Washington’s offense has been led by Bryce Harper and Matt Adams, who’ve collectively launched 22 home runs. Harper is hitting .230/.410/.541 with 12 home runs, 28 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Adams is hitting .308 with 10 homers, 24 RBIs and 18 runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .311/.357/.445 across 129 plate appearances, Harper did not do as well batting against lefty pitching last season (his total season line was .317/.411/.596).
In the home-team dugout, San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.23 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.42 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
San Diego’s offense has put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .208/.293/.329 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Christian Villanueva have paced the Padres’ batters so far. Hosmer is slashing .278/.381/.500 with five home runs, 12 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Villanueva’s line is .252/.336/.563 with nine homers, 20 RBIs and 17 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .318/.385/.498, Hosmer did not do as well hitting against lefties at home last year, slashing .224/.274/.357 over 106 such plate appearances.
The Nationals have lost 7.3 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 0.4 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in seven of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under.
Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in four of San Diego’s last seven games.
The Nationals have won nine of their last 10 games SU.
Washington has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.0 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit eight over their last 10.
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