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Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick 09/28/18

Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals are heading west to take on the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to broadcast this NL matchup and the action gets going at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals at Colorado Rockies Odds

Colorado (-170) is favored over Washington (+160) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 10.5 runs (-110 for both the over and the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at -135 for picking the Nationals +1.5 runs and +115 for the Rockies -1.5.

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The Nationals are 81-78 SU and are 76-83 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 24.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 10.7 units ATS. The Rockies, on the other hand, are 89-70 SU and 83-75 ATS. The team’s gained 18.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.3 units ATS.

Rockies games have had an over/under record of 67-84-7 in 2018. The Nationals have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 75-81-3.

Joe Ross is getting the nod for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Ross is 0-1 with a 4.09 ERA and three strikeouts. He has yet to face the Rockies this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 9.64 ERA and two strikeouts across 4.2 innings).

The Rockies are preparing to start lefty Kyle Freeland (16-7, 2.84 ERA), who has 169 punchouts and 69 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Freeland is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.93 ERA in one start against Washington this year.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.00 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.02 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.97, along with a K-per-9 of 8.54.

The Nationals offense has slashed .253/.336/.418 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Washington’s offensive production has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. The speedy Turner is slashing .270/.344/.410 with 18 home runs, 68 RBIs, 101 runs and 43 stolen bases, while Rendon (.309/.375/.536) is up to 24 homers, 91 RBIs and 87 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Colorado’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.18, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.61 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

Colorado’s hitters have put up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 8.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .335/.412/.602 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

The Rockies’ batters have been led by outfielder Charlie Blackmon and third baseman Nolan Arenado. Blackmon is hitting .287/.355/.489 with 27 home runs, 66 RBIs and 115 runs scored, while Arenado’s line is .296/.374/.545 with 34 homers, 105 RBIs and 100 runs.

The Nationals have lost 19.0 units and are 19-25 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 23 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve gone under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Rockies have netted 13.9 units and are 49-49 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under.

Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Rockies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Notes

The over has cashed in five of Washington’s last seven outings.

Colorado has posted 23.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 31.8 over its last five.

The Nationals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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