The Washington Nationals will head south to Marlins Park to face their NL East nemesis Miami Marlins. The game gets underway 7:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to televise the action.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Vegas has listed Miami (+235) as the underdog to Washington (-270). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -105 for over seven runs and -115 for under seven. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Nationals -1.5 runs (-165) and Marlins +1.5 runs (+145).
The Marlins are only 19-30 SU and 26-23 ATS. They’ve gained 0.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 1.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Nationals have gone 26-22 SU this year and are 23-25 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 1.1 units ATS.
Marlins games have had an over/under record of 23-26 so far in 2018. The Nationals have an over/under record of 21-25-2.
The right-handed Max Scherzer is projected to start for Washington. Scherzer is 7-1 with a 1.78 ERA and 104 strikeouts. This is his first outing against Miami this year. He did make four starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 1.17 ERA and 30 strikeouts.
The Marlins will turn to righty Jose Urena (0-7, 4.55 ERA) to the mound. Urena has 45 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Urena made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record in 2017, posting a 0-2 record with a 3.75 ERA and 10 strikeouts.
As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.41, a WHIP of 1.31 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 5.60 ERA, 1.55 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 19 games against divisional foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.19 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.75.
Miami’s offense has put up 3.4 runs per outing, including 3.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .231/.314/.358 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ batters so far. Castro is hitting .293/.332/.388 with 55 hits, 21 RBIs and 26 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .276/.358/.381 with 50 hits, 21 RBIs and 25 runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .262/.337/.369, Anderson appeared to enjoy facing righty pitching at home in 2017, hitting .303/.425/.455 across 40 plate appearances.
For the visitors, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starters own a 2.96 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 10.15 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.45, along with a WHIP of 1.05 and a K-per-9 of 9.74.
The Nationals offense has slashed .238/.326/.404 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Washington’s hitters have been led by shortstop Trea Turner and second baseman Howie Kendrick, who have combined to launch 10 home runs. Turner is slashing .270/.367/.429 with six home runs, 19 RBIs, 29 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Kendrick is slashing .303/.331/.474 with four homers, 12 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Nationals have gained 4.5 units and are 16-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 2.0 units and are 19-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to 20 that went under.
Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in four of Washington’s last seven games.
Washington fielders have committed zero errors over their last five games, compared to three errors for Miami over its last five.
The Nationals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
