The Washington Nationals will be squaring off against their NL East rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The action can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the opening pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Odds
Oddsmakers are listing New York (+105) as the underdog to Washington (-115). The total is sitting at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over or the under for -110. The game’s runline odds sit at +130 for betting the Nationals -1.5 runs and -150 for the Mets +1.5.
The Nationals have gone 64-65 SU this year and are 61-67 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 24.6 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.5 units ATS. Washington is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 57-71 SU and 59-67 ATS. They’ve lost 17.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 13.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Mets games have an over/under record of 56-64-6 in 2018. Nationals games have gone under 69 times, gone over 56 times and pushed on three occasions.
The right-handed Tanner Roark is getting the start for the visiting Nationals. Roark (8-12, 4.05 ERA) has recorded 127 punchouts in 153.1 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 27 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against New York this year (four starts).
The Mets are sending righty Zack Wheeler (8-6, 3.63 ERA) to the mound. Wheeler has 146 strikeouts and 47 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.21 WHIP. Wheeler is 1-1 with nine strikeouts and a 4.61 ERA across two starts against Washington this year.
Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.88 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.91, along with a WHIP of 1.24 and a K-per-9 of 8.57.
The Nationals offense has slashed .251/.329/.414 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Washington’s offensive production has been sparked by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who collectively have swatted 31 home runs. The speedy Turner is hitting .267/.334/.406 with 15 home runs, 52 RBIs, 78 runs and 32 stolen bases. Rendon has a .291 average with 16 homers, 62 RBIs and 58 runs scored.
For the home team, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.64 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 54 games against NL East foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.78 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.48.
The New York hitters have put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .227/.273/.390 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ hitters this year. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .242/.285/.361 with six homers, 40 RBIs, 56 runs and 15 steals.
The Nationals have lost 6.5 units and are 48-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 40 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 9.3 units and are 45-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 43 of those games, as opposed to 46 that’ve cashed the under.
Washington Nationals at New York Mets Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in just one of Washington’s last seven games.
The Mets have won three of their last four games SU.
Washington has posted 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.4 over its last five.
Each team has hit 10 home runs over its last 10 outings.
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