The Washington Nationals will pay a visit to Philadelphia to take on their division rival Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the action.
Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Philadelphia (-150) as the favorite over Washington (+140). The total is sitting at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 or the under for -105. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -155 for picking the Nationals +1.5 runs and +135 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Phillies are 42-36 straight up (SU) and 33-44 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 5.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 18.0 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals are 41-37 SU and have gone 38-40 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 11.2 units for moneyline bettors and 4.3 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 36-37-4 so far in 2018. Washington has been a good under bet with a total record of 31-45-2.
The right-handed Tanner Roark is getting the nod for the visiting Nationals. Roark is 3-8 with a 4.27 ERA and 79 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 16 strikeouts and a 7.59 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies are sending righty Aaron Nola (9-2, 2.58 ERA) to the mound. Nola has 99 strikeouts and 29 walks to his name, as well as a 1.02 WHIP. Nola is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Washington this year.
Washington’s pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.53 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.64 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.86, along with a K-per-9 of 8.94.
The Nationals offense has slashed .238/.318/.393 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
Washington’s offensive production has been fueled by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. The speedy Turner is slashing .261/.346/.397 with eight home runs, 27 RBIs, 41 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Rendon (.284/.352/.500) has produced nine homers, 31 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have a 3.75 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.14 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 28 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 3.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.21.
The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .225/.299/.369 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
Outfielder Odubel Herrera and second baseman Cesar Hernandez have paced the Phillies’ batters this year. Herrera is slashing .294/.348/.486 with 13 home runs, 45 RBIs and 40 runs scored, and Hernandez’s line is .268/.378/.393 with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 55 runs and 12 steals.
The Nationals have gained 3.5 units and are 29-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 31 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 5.3 units and are 25-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 28 that went under.
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in four of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
The Nationals have dropped four of their last five games SU.
Washington has posted 20 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17 over its last five.
The Nationals have hit four home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 16 over their last 10.
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