The Golden State Warriors (3-1) clash with the Washington Wizards (1-2) at ORACLE Arena. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 24, 2018, and will air on NBC Sports – Bay Area.
Washington Wizards vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
The Wizards come in on a high note after edging the Portland Trail Blazers in their last matchup, 125-124, as 4.5-point underdogs. The game’s total points (249) finished well over the O/U total of 228. Washington’s 7.6 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Portland, who had a mark of 13.5. Washington was led by Bradley Beal, who finished with 25 points, eight rebounds and seven assists.
In the Warriors’ last game, they dismantled the Phoenix Suns, 123-103, easily covering as 12.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (226) came in just under the O/U total of 227. The Warriors forced 21 turnovers and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.591 (above their season average of 0.533). Stephen Curry was the top scorer from either team with 29 points on 11-for-18 shooting.
Golden State should have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. Dating back to last season, the Warriors rank first in offensive efficiency, while the Wizards rank 15th in defensive efficiency.
Since last season, the Wizards have had records of 44-41 straight up (SU) and 48-49-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has had a tendency to set the total low when Washington is involved since last season as 61.2 percent of their games have gone over the projected point total.
The Warriors, on the other hand, have records of 61-25 SU and 52-48-3 ATS since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when setting the O/U total of Golden State games over that same stretch with 56 unders compared to 46 overs.
The Warriors won both meetings against the Wizards last season. In the most recent contest, Golden State won 109-101. Golden State did a terrific job of getting and making free throws (25-30; 83.3 percent). Washington, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (35.3 vs. 8.3).
Washington Wizards at Golden State Warriors Free Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In games where they allow under 100 points, Golden State is 23-7 and Washington is 20-4.
The Warriors are 73-17 when they reach the century mark, while the Wizards are 43-24.
Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (7.1) while Washington ranks 20th (4.6).
The Wizards rank sixth in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Warriors rank 25th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.7).
Washington averages 7.9 steals per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Golden State ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
The Wizards rank ninth in fast break points allowed per game (11.3) while the Warriors rank 25th (13.7).
Washington ranks 14th in second chance points per game (12.5) while Golden State ranks 29th (10.6).
The Warriors average 28.6 assists per game, which ranks first in the league. The Wizards rank 10th in assists allowed per game (22.3).
Golden State averages 43.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks 19th in the league. Washington ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.8).
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