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Washington Wizards – Oklahoma City Thunder Preview – 02.01.2016

A five-game home winning streak hangs in the balance for the Oklahoma City Thunder (34-13) when they match up with the Washington Wizards (20-23). The game starts at 8:00 pm ET on Monday, Feb. 1 and will air on FxK and WA2.

The Thunder beat the Knicks 128-122 in their last game. Kevin Durant fueled the Thunder, recording 44 points and 14 rebounds to notch his 15th double-double this season. The Wizards, meanwhile, are coming off a 106-89 loss at the hands of the Raptors in their last outing. Otto Porter accumulated 15 points, eight rebounds, and four steals.

When considering effective field goal percentage, the Thunder figure to have a significant advantage on the offensive end. They rank third in the NBA in that category at 52.0%, whereas Washington’s poor effective field goal percentage defense ranks 28th, with opponents connecting at a clip of 52.2%.

This will be the second matchup of the season between these two teams. The Thunder won the first game 125-101. Russell Westbrook played a huge role in the victory with a triple-double, with 22 points, 11 rebounds and 11 assists.

The Thunder are a considerable 10-point favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is 226 points. Despite a 36-13 Straight Up (SU) record, the Thunder have not fared well Against The Spread (ATS) with a 19-29-1 record. They have gone 11-9 SU and 7-13 ATS against teams from the Eastern Conference. The Thunder come into the game with the second-ranked scoring offense in the league, averaging 109.5 points per game. Oklahoma City has an edge in the rebounding department for this game, where they rack up an average of 47.5 rebounds per game.

Across the court, the Wizards head into the game with records of 23-21-1 ATS and 21-24 SU. Although they haven’t done very well in road games against Western Conference foes (2-3), Washington does sport a nice 3-2 record ATS. The Wizards are shooting very well so far with a .365 three-point field-goal percentage that ranks fifth in the NBA. When it comes to stealing the ball, the Wizards are one of the best in the league with an average of 8.8 steals per game.

Oklahoma City won the last meeting this season between these two teams, moving its SU record against the Wizards to 7-3 in their last 10 head-to-head meetings. However, the Wizards lead the matchup ATS with a record of 5-4-1.

Predictions: SU Winner – OKC, ATS Winner – OKC, O/U – Over

Notes

Oklahoma City is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City’s last 5 games.

Oklahoma City is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games.

Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.

Oklahoma City is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City’s last 5 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City’s last 5 games when playing Washington.

Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington.

Oklahoma City is 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Washington.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City’s last 5 games when playing at home against Washington.

Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington.

Oklahoma City ranks second in points per game with 109.5, while Washington ranks 24th in points allowed with an average of 104.8 given up.

On average, Oklahoma City puts up 108.2 points per home game (ranked second). Washington ranks 24th in points allowed per road game with 104.6.

In games where they allow fewer than 100 points, the Oklahoma City Thunder are an exceptional 21-2. In games where they fail to hit triple digits, the Washington Wizards have an abysmal record of 3-14.

When the Oklahoma City Thunder allow at least 100 points they are 13-11, while the Washington Wizards are 17-9 when they register triple digits.

The Wizards have a defensive rating of 105.0 (ranked 18th). The Thunder rank second for their offensive rating of 109.9.

The Oklahoma City Thunder average 99.2 possessions and 1.099 points per possession in games this season. The Washington Wizards average fewer possessions with 98.9, as well as fewer points per possession with 1.027.

Oklahoma City is among the top-ranked teams based on its average effective field goal percentage of 52.0% (ranked third in the NBA). Washington is a poor 6-13 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

Oklahoma City averages 22.0 three point attempts per game, and Washington attempts 23.0 per game. In games where the teams have 25 or more three point attempts, the Thunder have a solid 8-4 record while the Wizards have a 10-8 record.

The Oklahoma City Thunder rank 22nd with an assist to turnover ratio of 1.47. The Washington Wizards have a higher A/TO (1.69), ranking ninth.

Oklahoma City ranks second among all teams in rebounding, placing the team near the top of the league (47.5 per game). Washington, however, ranks 30th in rebounding with 40.0 per game.

The Washington Wizards are among the worst offensive rebounding teams (ranked 28th), while the Oklahoma City Thunder are one of the NBA’s top defensive rebounding teams (ranked fifth).

On average, the Wizards force a turnover rate of 16.2%, ranked third in the NBA. When the Thunder turn over the ball at a similar or higher rate, the team has a winning 9-5 record.

Written by GMS Previews

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