The Dallas Mavericks (15-31) challenge the Washington Wizards (26-20) at American Airlines Center. The game starts at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, January 22, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southwest.
Washington opened as a 1.5-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 214 points.
Washington Wizards vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction
The Wizards will be looking for a similar outcome after beating the Detroit Pistons in their last outing, 122-112. The Wizards had 10 steals and had a free throw rate of 0.293 (above their season average of 0.204). Washington was lifted by Bradley Beal, who had 26 points.
The last time the Mavericks played, they fell to the Portland Trail Blazers, 117-108. Portland’s effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Dallas. The Trail Blazers had a rate of 0.628 (above their season average of 0.507), while the Mavericks posted a mark of 0.518. With 21 points, six rebounds and six assists, Dennis Smith Jr. put together a solid game for Dallas.
It could be a difficult game for Washington on the offensive glass. The Wizards currently rank 16th in offensive rebounding percentage (22.5 percent), while Dallas ranks fifth in defensive rebounding percentage (79.3 percent).
Washington heads into the contest with records of 26-20 straight up (SU) and 20-26 against the spread (ATS). Of the Wizards’ 46 games, 25 have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Dallas owns records of 15-31 SU and 23-23 ATS. Coinciding with Washington, just over half of Mavericks games have finished under the projected point total.
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Kelly Oubre Jr. (14.8 points and 5.2 rebounds) has been great for the Wizards while Smith Jr. (18.8 points, 4.4 assists and 1.2 steals) has made great contributions to the Mavericks.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. Harrison Barnes scored a game-high 31 points in the first matchup, in which the Mavericks, who were 9.5-point underdogs, defeated the Wizards 113-99. He also had nine rebounds. The game finished with a total of 212 points, which was just 1.5 points below the projected point total of 213.5 points. The Mavericks had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.4 vs. 6.7) and had a better turnover percentage (9.9 vs. 14.4).
Washington Wizards at Dallas Mavericks Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Washington is 12-10 ATS with 15 unders and 7 overs.
Dallas is 11-13 ATS at home with 13 unders, 10 overs and 1 push.
Washington is 13-1 when they allow below 100 points, while Dallas is 11-8.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Mavericks are 10-15 and the Wizards are 23-10.
Washington ranks sixth in points off turnovers per game (18.1) while Dallas ranks last (13.8).
The Mavericks rank fourth in three pointers attempted per game (31.9) while the Wizards rank 22nd (26.0).
Dallas ranks fourth in second chance points allowed per game (10.9) while Washington ranks 22nd (13.4).
The Mavericks rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (41.1) while the Wizards rank 18th (45.0).
Washington ranks 13th in fast break points allowed per game (11.1) while Dallas ranks 28th (14.2).
The Wizards rank 14th in steals per game (7.8) while the Mavericks rank 26th (6.8).
Washington ranks 15th in rebounds per game (43.0) while Dallas ranks 27th (40.2).
The Wizards rank 19th in blocks per game (4.5) while the Mavericks rank 26th (3.7).
Washington averages 23.3 assists per game, which ranks ninth in the NBA. Dallas ranks 14th in assists allowed per game (22.7).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Washington is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Dallas is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Wizards have been outscored by an average of 2.2 points in their last five games. For the season, Washington has defeated opponents by an average of 1.8 points.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 108.0 points per game (5.4 above their season average) and allowed an average of 107.8 points per game (3.0 above their season average).
