The Detroit Pistons (34-40) take on the Washington Wizards (41-33) at Little Caesars Arena. The game will air on Fox Sports – Detroit at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, March 29, 2018.
Washington Wizards vs. Detroit Pistons Betting Prediction
In the Wizards’ last matchup, they topped the San Antonio Spurs, 116-106. Washington’s 27.0 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest strength over San Antonio, who had a mark of 20.0. The Wizards’ mark was above their season average of 23.6. Washington rallied around Kelly Oubre Jr., who recorded 12 points and nine rebounds.
The Pistons beat the Los Angeles Lakers in their last contest, 112-106. Detroit’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Los Angeles. The Pistons had a rate of 6.2 (better than their season average of 12.0), while the Lakers posted a mark of 9.4. With 15 points and 18 rebounds, Detroit’s Andre Drummond played well.
It could be a mistake-prone game for the Washington offense. Washington ranks 20th in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.1 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of Detroit forces the seventh-most turnovers in the NBA (14.5 percent).
Washington heads into the contest with records of 41-33 straight up (SU) and 33-39-2 against the spread (ATS). Just over half of the Wizards’ games have finished under the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Detroit is 34-40 SU and 35-37-2 ATS. Vegas is known to place the total high when the Pistons are involved, as 41 of their 74 games have finished under the O/U total.
Oubre Jr. has averaged 14.6 points and 1.6 steals over the last five games for Washington.
The Wizards have won all three contests against the Pistons this season, including a 10-point victory in their last matchup. Washington covered as a 1-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 234 points, which was 26 points above the projected point total of 208 points. The Wizards had a better turnover percentage (12.2 vs. 13.3) and had a better free throw rate (0.293 vs. 0.275). Bradley Beal was a standout player in the game, putting up 26 points.
Washington Wizards vs. Detroit Pistons Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Pistons, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Washington is 20-16 ATS on the road with 22 unders and 14 overs.
At home, Detroit is 17-19-1 ATS with 18 overs, 18 unders and 1 push.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Washington is 18-4 and Detroit is 19-6.
The Wizards are 38-18 when they reach 100 points, while the Pistons are 30-17.
Washington averages 25.1 assists per game, which ranks fourth in the league. Detroit ranks 26th in assists allowed per game (24.9).
The Pistons rank seventh in second chance points allowed per game (11.4) while the Wizards rank 25th (13.3).
Detroit ranks first in fast break points allowed per game (9.6) while Washington ranks eighth (10.9).
The Pistons average 16.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Wizards rank 18th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.1).
Washington ranks 22nd in blocks per game (4.4) while Detroit ranks 26th (3.9).
The Wizards average 43.1 rebounds per game, which ranks 19th in the league. The Pistons rank 20th in rebounds allowed per game (43.9).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Washington is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Detroit is 5-0 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Wizards have been outscored by an average of 0.6 points in their last five games. On the season, Washington has defeated opponents by an average of 1.2 points.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (6.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 95.8 points per game (8.0 below their season average).
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