The Detroit Pistons (22-21) meet the Washington Wizards (25-20) at Little Caesars Arena. The game can be seen on ESPN at 8 p.m. ET on Friday, January 19, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 208 points with Washington set as a 1-point favorite.
Washington Wizards vs. Detroit Pistons Free Prediction
The Wizards are hoping for a better outcome after their 133-109 loss to the Charlotte Hornets in their last contest. Charlotte’s 7.6 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Washington, who had a mark of 14.8. The Hornets’ mark was better than their season average of 11.5. Bradley Beal was the game’s high scorer with 26 points on 10-for-19 shooting.
In the Pistons’ last game, they were beaten by the Toronto Raptors, 96-91. Toronto’s free throw rate was their largest advantage over Detroit. The Raptors had a rate of 0.212 (above their season average of 0.212), while the Pistons posted a mark of 0.080 (below their season average of 0.164). Detroit’s Andre Drummond had a solid game, leading both teams in scoring with 25 points on 12-for-15 shooting.
Washington comes into the game with records of 25-20 straight up (SU) and 19-26 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total high when the Wizards are involved, as 55.6 percent of their games have gone under the total.
Meanwhile, Detroit is 22-21 SU and 24-17-2 ATS. Games featuring the Pistons also have typically finished under the total (58.1 percent).
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. John Wall (26.2 points, 12.2 assists, 2.0 steals and 1.4 blocks) has been great for the Wizards while Avery Bradley (18.0 points, 3.2 assists and 1.2 steals) has made great contributions to the Pistons.
The Wizards have won both contests against the Pistons this season, including a decisive 109-91 victory in their last matchup. Washington covered as a 1-point underdog and the game finished with a total of 200 points, which was just 4 points below the projected point total of 204 points. The Wizards had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (36.4 vs. 10.8) and had a better turnover percentage (10.2 vs. 14.7). In the victory, Markieff Morris led all scorers with 23 points.
Washington Wizards at Detroit Pistons Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Washington is 11-10 ATS with 15 unders and 6 overs.
At home, Detroit is 10-8-1 ATS with 10 unders and 9 overs.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Detroit is 12-5 and Washington is 13-1.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Pistons are 19-8 and the Wizards are 22-10.
Detroit ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (10.5) while Washington ranks 24th (13.5).
The Wizards rank 10th in assists allowed per game (22.0) while the Pistons rank 26th (24.3).
Detroit ranks second in fast break points allowed per game (8.4) while Washington ranks 14th (11.1).
The Wizards rank 19th in blocks per game (4.6) while the Pistons rank 29th (3.6).
Detroit ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.7) while Washington ranks 12th (15.6).
The Pistons rank 19th in rebounds per game (42.1) while the Wizards rank 21st in rebounds allowed per game (43.9).
Detroit ranks 17th in points in the paint per game (43.3) while Washington ranks 18th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Washington is 0-5 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Detroit is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Wizards have been outscored by an average of 4.8 points in their last five games. On the season, Washington has defeated opponents by an average of 1.6 points.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 105.2 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.6 points per game (0.9 above their season average).
