The Washington Wizards (2-9) look to put an end to their six-game road losing streak in a matchup against the Miami Heat (5-6) at AmericanAirlines Arena. The game can be seen on Fox Sports – Seattle at 8 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 10, 2018.
Washington Wizards at Miami Heat ATS Prediction
In the Wizards’ last contest, they were 2-point favorites and fell to the Orlando Magic, 117-108. The game’s combined points (225) were just under the O/U total of 228. Orlando’s 25.6 offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Washington, who had a rate of 16.2. The Magic’s mark was above their season average of 21.4, while the Wizards’ was below the 23.8 mark opponents have averaged against Orlando this season. John Wall had a solid performance for Washington, putting up 19 points, 12 assists and seven rebounds.
The Heat lost to the Indiana Pacers in their last matchup, 110-102, despite being 1-point favorites. The total points for the game (212) finished under the projected point total of 216.5. Indiana’s 16.4 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Miami, who had a rate of 20.0. The Pacers’ mark was worse than their season average of 12.2, while the Heat’s was above their season average of 12.8. Miami’s Hassan Whiteside finished with 11 points and 20 rebounds in the game.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Wall had 26 points and nine assists in the first game, in which the Wizards lost 113-112, unable to cover as 6-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 225 points, which was 10 points above the projected point total of 215 points. Miami had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (40.0 vs. 17.5). Washington, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the charity stripe (29-39; 74.4 percent).
Washington comes into the contest with records of 2-9 straight up (SU) and 2-8 against the spread (ATS). Of the Wizards’ 10 games with betting action, six have gone over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Miami owns records of 5-6 SU and 5-5 ATS. Similarly to Washington, games including the Heat also have typically finished over the total (70.0 percent).
Miami could own the offensive glass in this contest. The Heat are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking second in offensive rebounding percentage at 26.7 percent. Meanwhile, Washington ranks 29th in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 71.1 percent.
Washington Wizards at Miami Heat Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Washington is 1-5 ATS with 3 overs and 3 unders.
Miami is 3-2 ATS at home with 3 overs and 2 unders.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Miami is 2-0 and Washington is 1-0.
When reaching the century mark, the Heat are 4-6 and the Wizards are 2-8.
Miami ranks fifth in rebounds per game (48.9) while Washington ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (50.3).
The Heat rank third in second chance points per game (15.9) while the Wizards rank 26th (10.6).
Washington averages 6.6 blocks per game, which ranks second in the league. Miami ranks 24th in blocks allowed per game (7.1).
The Heat rank ninth in assists allowed per game (22.7) while the Wizards rank last (27.0).
Washington ranks fifth in points off turnovers (20.1 per game) while Miami ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed (19.8 per game).
The Wizards rank fifth in fast break points per game (18.1) while the Heat rank 24th (11.3).
Miami ranks 10th in three pointers attempted per game (33.4) while Washington ranks 17th in three pointers allowed per game (32.2).
The Wizards average 8.1 steals per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Heat rank 11th in steals allowed per game (7.6).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, Washington is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Miami is 2-3 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Wizards’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.0, down from 10.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Heat have scored an average of 109.6 points per game (1.0 below their season average) and allowed an average of 112.2 points per game (2.1 above their season average).
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