The Portland Trail Blazers (2-0) take on the Washington Wizards (0-2) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game is scheduled to start at 10 p.m. ET on Monday, October 22, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 226 points with Portland set as a 4.5-point favorite.
Washington Wizards at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Prediction
The Wizards are hoping to rebound after failing to cover as 2-point favorites in their 117-113 loss to the Toronto Raptors in their last contest. The game’s combined points (230) finished over the projected point total of 219.5. Toronto won the rebounding battle. The Raptors had 14 offensive rebounds and 52 total rebounds, while the Wizards had nine and 37, respectively. Bradley Beal was the top scorer from either team with 32 points on 12-for-21 shooting.
In the Trail Blazers’ last matchup, they were victorious over the San Antonio Spurs, 121-108, comfortably covering as 5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (229) came in well over the O/U total of 214. One of Portland’s biggest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 16-19 (84.2 percent), while the Spurs were 11-14 (78.6 percent). Damian Lillard was the top scorer from either team with 29 points on 9-for-15 shooting.
Portland appears to have an edge on the offensive glass in this matchup. The Trail Blazers rank ninth in offensive rebounding percentage (23.3 percent), while Washington ranks 20th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.8 percent) since the 2017-18 season.
Since last season, the Wizards have had records of 43-41 straight up (SU) and 47-49-1 against the spread (ATS). Games including Washington have had a tendency to go over the O/U total since last season (60.8 percent).
The Trail Blazers, meanwhile, have records of 51-33 SU and 43-45 ATS since last season. Portland’s games have had a tendency to finish over the O/U total over that same period (55.7 percent).
These two teams split two games last season. In the last matchup, the Wizards won 106-92. The Wizards had a much better turnover percentage (8.6 vs. 17.1) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (24.4 vs. 17.5).
Washington Wizards at Portland Trail Blazers Free Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Wizards, ATS Winner – Wizards, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Portland is 26-8 when they allow under 100 points, while Washington is 20-4.
In games where they reach the century mark, the Trail Blazers are 46-21 and the Wizards are 42-24.
Washington ranks fifth in assists per game (24.9) while Portland ranks last (19.5).
The Wizards rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (14.2).
Portland ranks third in rebounds per game (45.5) while Washington ranks 21st (42.8).
The Wizards rank 13th in fast break points per game (12.4) while the Trail Blazers rank last (8.6).
Portland ranks sixth in second chance points per game (13.6) while Washington ranks 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (13.1).
The Wizards rank 10th in steals per game (7.9) while the Trail Blazers rank 25th (7.0).
Portland ranks fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (42.9) while Washington ranks 20th (45.7).
The Trail Blazers rank fifth in three pointers allowed per game (26.6) while the Wizards rank 13th (29.1).
Portland ranks seventh in blocks per game (5.1) while Washington ranks 14th in blocks allowed per game (4.8).
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