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Week 10 Free Pick: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

The Detroit Lions (+7) will meet their NFC North foe Chicago Bears (-7) at Soldier Field. Kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to FOX.

Detroit Lions vs. Chicago Bears Betting Preview

This Sunday NFC game shows the Lions as the underdogs and they’re currently getting 7 points. The Lions are also receiving +220 moneyline odds while the Bears are -260. This NFC matchup should provide several decent live betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 45.5 points.

The game’s O/U has been driven lower after opening at 47. The original spread (-7) has remained consistent.

The Lions are 5-3 against the spread (ATS) and are down 3.0 units so far in 2018. The team’s posted an O/U record of 5-3. The Bears are up 0.2 units this season. The team is 5-3 ATS and five of its games have gone over the total.

The Lions are an ugly 3-5 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against NFC North opponents. The Bears are 5-3 SU overall and 0-1 SU against divisional foes.

Chicago comes into this matchup on a two-game losing streak while Detroit has won its last two in a row. The Lions are most-recently reeling from a 24-9 defeat to Minnesota in Week 9. Matthew Stafford completed 25 passes for 199 yards. Kerryon Johnson (37 rushing yards on 12 attempts) led the running attack in the loss. Theo Riddick (seven receptions, 36 yards) and Marvin Jones Jr. (six catches, 66 yards) handled the receiving duties.

The Chicago Bears just picked up a 41-9 win over Buffalo in Week 9. The allowed the Bills to put up 189 passing yards and 97 rushing yards. Chris Ivory had a good showing in the loss, posting 20 yards on three catches for Buffalo. For Chicago, Mitchell Trubisky completed 12-of-20 passes for 135 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Jordan Howard (47 rushing yards on 14 attempts, two TDs) handled the ground game in the win while Anthony Miller (five receptions, 49 yards) and Taylor Gabriel (three catches, 45 yards) led the receiving corps.

Detroit has run the ball on 38.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Chicago has an overall rush percentage of 47.0 percent. The Lions have rushed for 104 yards per game (including 80 per game versus North opponents) and have four scores via handoffs this year. The Bears are putting up 128 rush yards per game (139 in conference) and have eight total rushing TDs.

The Lions offense has averaged 266 yards through the air overall (191 per game versus conference opposition) and has 14 passing TDs so far. The Bears have recorded 244 pass yards per game (171.0 against NFC foes) and have 16 total pass scores.

Detroit has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 143 yards and throw for 236 yards per game. The Chicago defense has given up 253.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 84.9 yards per game on the ground. The Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.90 to opposing QBs, while the Lions have given up a 7.73 ANY/A.

Offensively, Stafford is up to 1,801 passing yards on the year, and has completed 68 percent of his 249 attempts with 12 scores through the air and five interceptions. Stafford’s got a 6.29 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.89 over the last two outings.

Mitchell Trubisky has completed 151-of-231 passes for 1,729 yards, 14 TDs and seven INTs for Chicago. His ANY/A stands at 6.47 for the year and 6.87 over his past two outings.

RELATED: Week 9 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free NFL Tip: Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears

SU Winner – Bears, ATS Winner – Lions, O/U – Under

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Notes

Team Betting Trends

Each team defense has created 24 sacks this season.

Both teams have lost four fumbles this season.

The Lions offense has recorded three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Bears have put up six such plays.

The Detroit defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Chicago has given up seven such plays.

The Detroit offense has created six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Chicago has created eight such runs.

The Lions defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Bears have given up two such runs.

The O/U for Chicago’s last outing going into it was 38. The over cashed in the team’s 41-9 victory over Buffalo.

In its last three games, Chicago is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three matches, Detroit is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Detroit’s last game was set at 47. The under cashed in the team’s 24-9 defeat to Minnesota.

Detroit has averaged 4.8 yards per carry across its past three outings and 2.7 over its last two.

Chicago has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.1 over its past two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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