The Dallas Cowboys (+3) are traveling east to visit the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to get underway at 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX will broadcast the action.
Dallas Cowboys at Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview
Dallas is playing the role of underdog and is currently getting 3 points in this NFC matchup. The Cowboys are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Falcons are -150. Multiple decent in-game betting possibilities could present themselves during the contest, and oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 47.5 points.
The total has not changed after it was set initially at 47.5. Having said that, the opening line was -5 so square bettors have been hammering the Cowboys.
The Cowboys are down 0.1 units so far in 2018 and 3-5-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 4-5. The Falcons have lost 3.1 units this season. The team is 3-6 ATS and the over has hit in six of its games.
The Cowboys are 4-5 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Falcons are also 4-5 SU.
The Cowboys enter after a 27-20 victory over Philadelphia in Week 10. Dak Prescott completed 26-of-36 passes for 270 yards and one touchdown. Ezekiel Elliott (151 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground attack in the win. Elliott (six receptions, 36 yards, one TD) and Amari Cooper (six catches, 75 yards) shared the receiving duties.
In Week 10, Cleveland knocked off this Atlanta team by a score of 28-16. The Falcons defense allowed the Browns to kill the clock by rushing for 211 yards on 29 attempts, along with one rushing TD. Nick Chubb was a force to be reckoned with, recording 176 rushing yards and a score on 20 attempts for Cleveland. For Atlanta, Matt Ryan completed 38-of-52 passes for 330 yards and two touchdowns. Tevin Coleman (44 rushing yards on 11 attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat while Austin Hooper (10 receptions, 56 yards, one TD) and Julio Jones (seven catches, 107 yards, one TD) led the pass-catching attack.
Dallas has run the ball on 46.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Atlanta has a rush percentage of 35.7 percent. The Cowboys have produced 133 rush yards/game and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The Falcons are putting up 90 rush yards per game and have eight total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Cowboys might have the advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their running backs has logged 5.0 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.6 to opponents. The Falcons have registered 4.0 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 5.2 to opponents.
The Cowboys offensive scheme has averaged 214 yards in the air overall and has 11 passing TDs so far. The Falcons have recorded an astonishing 337 pass yards per contest and have 21 total pass scores.
Defensively, Dallas seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has allowed 97 rush yards and 249 pass yards per game. The Atlanta defense has allowed 307.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 119.9 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cowboys are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 6.87 to opponents, while the Falcons have given up a 7.49 ANY/A.
Offensively, Prescott is up to 1,687 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 154-of-242 attempts with nine passing scores and four interceptions. He has a 5.65 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.30 over the last two games.
Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper and Michael Gallup have combined for 517 yards from scrimmage and three touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.
Matt Ryan has managed to complete 225-of-315 passes for 2,665 yards, 17 TDs and two INTs for Atlanta. His ANY/A stands at 8.20 for the year and 7.69 across his last two outings.
Julio Jones (919 receiving yards, one receiving touchdown on the year), Tevin Coleman (354 rush yards, two rush TDs, 156 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Calvin Ridley (429 receiving yards, six receiving TDs) have combined to account for 564 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns over the past two games.
These two squads met a year ago with the final result being a 27-7 victory for Atlanta.
RELATED: Week 11 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
Free Betting Pick: Dallas Cowboys vs. Atlanta Falcons
SU Winner – Falcons, ATS Winner – Falcons, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Dallas defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 25 times this season. Atlanta has recorded just 17 sacks.
Atlanta has lost four fumbles this season while the Dallas offense has let five get away.
The Cowboys offense has produced four pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Falcons have put up six such plays.
The Dallas defense has allowed four pass plays of 40+ yards, while Atlanta has given up six such plays.
The Dallas offense has created six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Atlanta has created four such runs.
The Cowboys defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Falcons have given up nine such runs.
The Over/Under for Atlanta’s last game was set at 49.5. The under cashed in the team’s 28-16 loss to Cleveland.
In its last three games, Atlanta is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
In its last three matches, Dallas is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Dallas’ last game was set at 45. The over cashed in the team’s 27-20 win over Philadelphia.
As a team, Dallas has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its past three games and 5.2 over its last two.
Atlanta has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.2 over its past two.
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