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Week 11 Free Betting Pick: Houston Texans at Washington Redskins

Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Redskins (+3) are gearing up to welcome the Houston Texans (-3) to Washington. CBS owns the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

Houston Texans at Washington Redskins Betting Preview

In this Sunday game, Houston is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Texans are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Redskins are +130. This matchup should provide several decent in-game betting possibilities, and Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 42.5 points.

Sharp bettors have been siding with the Texans. The line initially opened at 2 while the total was originally 43.

Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Texans have gained 1.3 units while the Redskins are ahead 2.1 units.

The Texans are 6-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Redskins are also 6-3 SU.

The Texans are coming off a 19-17 victory over Denver in Week 9. The Texans secondary allowed the Broncos to air it out for 290 yards. On the offensive side, Deshaun Watson completed 17 passes on 24 attempts for 213 yards and two touchdowns. Alfred Blue (just 39 yards on 15 rush attempts) and Lamar Miller (21 yards on 12 carries) led the ground attack while DeAndre Hopkins (10 receptions, 105 yards, one TD) and Demaryius Thomas (three catches, 61 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

Washington is coming off of a 16-3 win over Tampa Bay in Week 10. Alex Smith completed 19-of-27 passes for 178 yards and one touchdown. Adrian Peterson (68 rushing yards on 19 attempts) handled the running game while Maurice Harris (five receptions, 52 yards) and Jordan Reed (four catches, 51 yards) led the receiving corps in the win.

Houston has run the ball on 48.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Washington has an overall rush percentage of 45.4 percent. The Texans have run for 120 yards per game and have four touchdowns on the ground this year. The Redskins are averaging 121 rushing yards per game and have seven total rush TDs.

It seems like the Redskins ought to own an advantage along both the offensive and defensive fronts. Their offensive line has allowed just 19 sacks while their D-line has logged 25 sacks. The Texans O-line has given up 30 sacks and their defense has got to opposing signal-callerss on just 23 occasions.

The Texans offense has tallied 265 yards/game through the air overall and has 17 passing TDs so far. The Redskins have put up 227 pass yards per game and have 10 total pass scores.

Defensively, Houston seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 93 yards and pass for 262 yards per game. The Washington defense has given up 286.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 90.9 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Texans have given up an ANY/A of 6.19 to opposing QBs, while the Redskins are allowing an ANY/A of 6.37.

Passing-wise, Watson has put up 2,150 yards this season. He’s completed 64 percent of his 265 attempts with 12 scores through the air and seven interceptions. He’s got a 6.53 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 11.90 over the past two outings.

DeAndre Hopkins, Lamar Miller and Will Fuller V have collectively accounted for 492 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns over the last two outings.

Alex Smith has managed to complete 163-of-255 passes for 1,739 yards, nine TDs and two INTs for Washington. His ANY/A sits at 6.45 for the season and 5.72 over his past two games.

We also expect the Washington offense to spread things out this Sunday. Maurice Harris, Adrian Peterson and Jordan Reed have combined to account for 367 yards from scrimmage the last two games.

RELATED: Week 11 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Betting Prediction: Texans vs. Redskins

SU Winner – Redskins, ATS Winner – Redskins, O/U – Under

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Notes

Houston has produced 4.1 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.2 over its last two.

Washington has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.9 over its last two.

Both teams have lost four fumbles this year.

Washington has won five of its last six games SU, with a -24-point loss to Atlanta on November 4th accounting for the one defeat over that stretch.

Both teams have produced three pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Texans have have made 14 pass plays of 30+ yards while the Redskins have created six such plays.

The Houston defense has allowed seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Washington has given up five such plays.

The Houston offense has created two rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Washington has created five such runs.

The Texans defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Redskins have given up zero such runs.

The Washington defense has sacked opposing QBs 25 times this year. Houston has recorded 23 sacks.

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Written by GMS Previews

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