The Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) are making a trip north to face the Buffalo Bills at New Era Field. This early afternoon game kicks off at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS is in line to broadcast the action.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
In this Sunday AFC game, Jacksonville is tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Jaguars are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Bills are +130. There will probably be multiple good live betting scenarios for this contest, and Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 37.5 points.
The early action has been leaning in favor of the Bills. The opening line was initially 4 and the total was set originally at 38.
The hapless Jaguars are 3-5-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 8.8 units so far in 2018. They’ve been a decent under bet and have posted an O/U record of 4-6. The Bills have lost 2.5 units this season. The team is 4-6 ATS and also owns an O/U record of 4-6.
The Jaguars have gone 3-7 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Bills are also 3-7 SU.
The Jags fell to Pittsburgh 20-16 in a Week 11 game where their secondary allowed the Steelers to air it out for 314 yards and two touchdowns. Antonio Brown had a productive day for the opposition in that one with 117 yards and a score on five catches. On the offensive side, Blake Bortles completed just 10 passes on 18 attempts for 104 yards. Leonard Fournette (just 95 yards on 28 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack while D.J. Chark Jr. (two receptions, 15 yards) and Dede Westbrook (two catches, 19 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Buffalo just put together a lopsided 41-10 win over the Jets back in Week 10. The Bills defensive unit held its territory in the victory, keeping the Jets to only 135 passing yards and 83 yards on the ground. Elijah McGuire had a good outing in the loss, recording 27 yards on three catches for New York. For Buffalo, Matt Barkley completed 15-of-25 passes for 232 yards and two touchdowns. LeSean McCoy (113 rushing yards on 26 attempts, two TDs) and Marcus Murphy (69 yards on 14 carries) handled the running game while Zay Jones (eight receptions, 93 yards, one TD) and Robert Foster (three catches, 105 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Jacksonville has run the ball on 40.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Buffalo has an overall rush percentage of 47.2 percent. The Jaguars have run for 103 yards/game and have four scores on the ground this year. The Bills are putting up 109 rush yards per game and have seven total rushing TDs.
The Jags offense has averaged 261 yards through the air overall and has 13 passing scores so far. The Bills have recorded 184 pass yards per game and have five total pass TDs.
Defensively, Jacksonville has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 109 yards and pass for 225 yards per game. The Buffalo defense has given up 216.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 99.8 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Jags have given up an ANY/A of 5.90 to opposing QBs, while the Bills are yielding an ANY/A of 5.42.
Offensively, Bortles is up to 2,125 passing yards this year, and has completed 60 percent of his 308 attempts with 10 passing scores and eight interceptions. Bortles has a 5.53 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.84 over the last two games.
On the other sideline, Matt Barkley has connected on 15-of-25 passes for 232 yards, two TDs and zero INTs. Barkley’s ANY/A sits at 10.15 for the season.
When these two squads met last year, Jacksonville won by a touchdown 10-3.
RELATED: Week 12 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
NFL Pick: Jaguars vs. Bills
SU Winner – Jaguars, ATS Winner – Jaguars, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
The Jaguars offense has created three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Bills have put up five such plays.
The Jacksonville defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Buffalo has given up one such play.
The Jacksonville offense has created five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Buffalo has created seven such runs.
The Jaguars defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Bills have given up seven such runs.
The Buffalo defensive unit has tallied 25 sacks on the year while Jacksonville has 21.
Jacksonville has averaged 3.6 yards per rush attempt across its last three contests and 3.5 over its last two.
Buffalo has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.2 over its last two.
Over its last three contests, Buffalo is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Jacksonville’s previous game was set at 47. The under cashed in the team’s 20-16 defeat to Pittsburgh.
Over its last three matches, Jacksonville is 0-1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Buffalo’s last match was set at 38. The over cashed in the team’s 41-10 victory over the Jets.
Jacksonville has lost eight of its last nine games SU, with a 19-point victory over New York on September 30th accounting for the only win over that span.
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