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Week 12 Free Betting Preview: San Francisco 49ers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Nick Fairley NFL Free Agents
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The San Francisco 49ers (+3) are taking a trip across the country to take the field against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. FOX has the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

San Francisco is a live dog in this Sunday pairing and is currently getting 3 points. The 49ers are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Buccaneers are -150. If one squad can create a bunch of points early it’ll create a worthy in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 55 points.

The sharp action has been siding with the over. This game’s over/under originally opened at 54.

The underwhelming 49ers have lost 7.5 units so far and are 3-7 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U mark of 6-4. The Buccaneers have lost 2.2 units this season. The team is 3-6-1 ATS and the over’s hit in eight of its games.

The 49ers are 2-8 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Buccaneers are 3-7 SU.

The 49ers are trying to bounce back after a 27-23 defeat to the Giants on November 12. Nick Mullens completed 27 passes for 250 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Matt Breida (101 rushing yards on 17 attempts, one TD) led the ground attack while George Kittle (nine receptions, 83 yards) and Marquise Goodwin (four catches, 69 yards) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.

In Week 11, the Giants knocked off this Tampa Bay crew by a score of 38-35. As a group, the Bucs collectively completed 25-of-37 passes for 366 yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions. Ryan Fitzpatrick went 13-for-21 for 167 yards and three interceptions while Jameis Winston was 12-of-16 for 199 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Peyton Barber (106 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) handled the running game as Mike Evans (six receptions, 120 yards, one TD) and O.J. Howard (five catches, 78 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.

San Francisco has run the ball on 47.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tampa Bay has a rush percentage of 37.3 percent. The 49ers have produced 134 rush yards per game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Bucs are totaling 98 rush yards per game and have seven total rushing TDs.

It appears that the 49ers may hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.7 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.1 to opponents. The Buccaneers have registered 4.0 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.5 to opponents.

The Niners offense has tallied 248 yards/contest through the air overall and has 17 passing scores so far. The Bucs have put up a superb 375 pass yards per outing and have 25 total pass TDs.

San Francisco seems to have an edge in both defensive facets. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 102 yards and pass for 257 yards per game. The Tampa Bay D has given up 298.6 yards per game to opposing passers and 113.6 yards per game to opposing runners. The Niners are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.22 to opponents, while the Bucs have given up a whopping 9.08 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Mullens has amassed 250 yards this year. He’s completed 27-of-39 attempts with one scores through the air and two interceptions. He has a 4.62 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 8.23 over the past two outings.

Ryan Fitzpatrick has connected on 135-of-205 passes for 1,960 yards, 17 TDs and 10 INTs for Tampa Bay. His ANY/A sits at 8.21 for the season and 5.12 across his last two games.

RELATED: Week 12 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free Prediction: San Francisco 49ers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

SU Winner – Buccaneers, ATS Winner – Buccaneers, O/U – Under

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Trends

The 49ers offense has tallied seven pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Buccaneers have put up 11 such plays.

Both defenses have allowed five pass plays of 40+ yards. The San Francisco defense has given up 12 pass plays of 30+ yards while Tampa Bay has yielded 18 such plays.

The San Francisco offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Tampa Bay has created four such runs.

The 49ers defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Buccaneers have given up 10 such runs.

Each team defense has recorded 25 sacks this season.

As a team, San Francisco has produced 4.1 yards per carry over its past three outings and 4.4 over its last two.

Tampa Bay has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.7 over its past two.

Over its last three contests, Tampa Bay is 0-2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for San Francisco’s last game going into it was 45. The over cashed in the team’s 27-23 loss to the Giants.

In its last three games, San Francisco is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Tampa Bay’s last outing was set at 54. The over cashed in that 38-35 loss to the Giants.

Tampa Bay has lost eight of its last nine games SU, with a three-point triumph over Cleveland on October 21st accounting for its one win over that stretch.

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Written by GMS Previews

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