Two offenses that prefer to pass the ball, the Green Bay Packers (+3) are set to face off against their NFC North rival Minnesota Vikings (-3) at U.S. Bank Stadium. This Sunday Night matchup gets going at 8:20 p.m. ET and NBC has the TV rights.
Green Bay Packers +3 (+100) +160 ov 47.5
Minnesota Vikings -3 (-120) -180 un 47.5
Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview
Green Bay is a live dog here and is currently getting 3 points. The Packers are also receiving +130 moneyline odds while the Vikings are -150. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 48 points, and if one team finds paydirt in the early stages, it’ll likely generate a solid in-game betting opportunity.
Sharp bettors are siding with both the Packers and the under. The line initially opened at -5 while the O/U was originally set at 49.5.
The Packers have lost 1.3 units so far and are 4-5-1 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 6-4. The Vikings have gained 2.4 units this season. The team is 5-4-1 ATS and owns an even O/U record of 5-5.
The Packers are 4-5-1 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against NFC North opponents. The Vikings are 5-4-1 SU overall and also 1-1 SU against divisional foes.
The Packers dropped one to Seattle 27-24 in a Week 11 game where the passing game was sharp, as Aaron Rodgers completed 21-of-30 passes for 332 yards and two touchdowns. Aaron Jones (40 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running attack in the loss. Davante Adams (10 receptions, 166 yards) and Jones (five catches, 63 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties.
Minnesota just dropped a 25-20 game to Chicago in Week 11. The defensive unit let the Bears rush for 148 yards on 39 attempts. Taylor Gabriel had a good outing, recording 52 yards and a score on seven catches for Chicago. For Minnesota, Kirk Cousins completed 30-of-46 passes for 262 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Dalvin Cook (12 rushing yards on nine attempts) handled the ground game in the defeat while Stefon Diggs (13 receptions, 126 yards, one TD) and Adam Thielen (seven catches, 66 yards) led the receiving corps.
Each squad sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Green Bay’s run the ball on 35.3 percent of its offensive possessions while Minnesota has an overall rush percentage of 34.0. The Packers have produced 109 rush yards/game (including 88 per game versus North opponents) and have seven touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Vikes are putting up 85 rush yards per game (73 in conference) and have six total rushing TDs.
The Packers offensive scheme has averaged 313 yards through the air overall (355 per game against conference opposition) and has 19 passing scores so far. The Vikes have produced 295 pass yards per game (283.7 against NFC foes) and also have 19 total pass TDs.
Green Bay has allowed opponents to run for an average of 126 yards and pass for 247 yards per game. The Minnesota defense has allowed 248.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 94.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Vikes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.72 to opposing QBs, while the Packers have given up a 6.35 ANY/A.
Offensively, Rodgers is already up to 2,874 passing yards on the year. The signal-caller has completed 219-of-357 attempts with 17 passing scores and only one interception. Rodgers has a 7.74 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 8.82 over the last two games.
In the home locker room, Kirk Cousins has completed 271-of-387 passes for 2,783 yards, 18 TDs and six INTs. Cousins’ ANY/A stands at 6.61 for the year and 4.59 over his last two outings.
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Packers offense has tallied 14 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Vikings have put up three such plays.
The Green Bay defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Minnesota has given up eight such plays.
The Green Bay offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Minnesota has created nine such runs.
The Packers defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Vikings have given up two such runs.
The Green Bay D has 34 sacks on the year while Minnesota has 32.
Green Bay has averaged 5.7 yards per rush attempt over its past three contests and 6.4 over its last two.
Minnesota has averaged 4.0 yards per carry over its last three outings and 4.1 over its past two.
In its last three games, Minnesota is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Green Bay’s last game going into it was 49. The over cashed in the team’s 27-24 loss to Seattle.
In its last three matchups, Green Bay is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Minnesota’s previous game going into it was 44. The over cashed in the 25-20 loss to Chicago.
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