The Tennessee Titans (+6) are heading southwest to battle their AFC South counterpart Houston Texans at NRG Stadium. This pivotal Monday Night showdown gets going at 8:15 p.m. ET and ESPN will televise the action.
Tennessee Titans +6 +245 ov 41.5
Houston Texans -6 -275 un 41.5
Odds Provided by BetDSI.eu
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans Betting Preview
Tennessee is projected to play the role of underdog and is currently getting 6 points in this AFC game. The Titans are also receiving +190 moneyline odds while the Texans are -230. Some decent live betting scenarios might present themselves during this game, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 41.5 points.
Early action has moved in the direction of both the Texans and the under. The opening line was initially set at -5 while the total was originally 42.5.
Each team has rewarded gamblers this year as the Titans have gained 2.9 units while the Texans are up 2.3 units.
The Titans are 5-5 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against AFC South opponents. The Texans are 7-3 SU overall and also 2-1 SU against divisional foes.
The Titans are looking to bounce back after a 38-10 loss to Indianapolis last week. the Titans completed 21-of-29 passes for 203 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Blaine Gabbert went 11-for-16 for 118 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Marcus Mariota completed 10-of-13 for 85 yards and one interception. Dion Lewis (just 24 yards on 10 rush attempts) led the running attack while Jonnu Smith (six receptions, 44 yards) and Tajae Sharpe (five catches, 37 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties in the defeat.
Houston is coming off of a 23-21 win over Washington in Week 11. Deshaun Watson completed 16-of-24 passes for 208 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Lamar Miller (86 rushing yards on 20 attempts) handled the running game as DeAndre Hopkins (five receptions, 56 yards, one TD) and Keke Coutee (five catches, 77 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Each of these squads has a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Tennessee has run the ball on 50.8 percent of its offensive possessions while Houston has an overall rush percentage of 49.6. The Titans have run for 112 yards/game (including 112 per game versus South opponents) and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Texans are totaling 122 rush yards per game (136 in conference) and have four total rushing TDs.
If 2018 results can translate to this game, then it appears the Texans should own the advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.0 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Titans have recorded 3.9 yards per carry while allowing 3.9 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Titans offensive scheme has averaged 204 yards in the air overall (167 per game versus conference opposition) and has 10 passing scores so far. The Texans have produced 260 pass yards per game (274.7 against AFC foes) and have 18 total pass TDs.
Tennessee has allowed opponents to run for an average of 100 yards and pass for 247 yards per game. The Houston defense has allowed 254.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 96.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Texans are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.71 to opposing QBs, while the Titans have given up a 6.61 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Mariota is up to 1,355 yards this year, and has completed 68 percent of his 192 attempts with five passing scores and six interceptions. Mariota’s got a 4.71 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 6.40 over the past two outings.
For the home team, Deshaun Watson has managed to complete 184-of-285 passes for 2,384 yards, 16 TDs and nine INTs. Watson’s ANY/A stands at 6.83 for the year and 6.24 across his past two outings.
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
The Titans offense has created two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Texans have put up four such plays.
The Tennessee defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Houston has given up seven such plays.
The Tennessee offense has created four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Houston has created three such runs.
Both defenses have allowed two rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Titans have given up 25 running plays of 10+ yards while the Texans have given up 22 such plays.
The Houston defensive unit has tallied 28 sacks on the year while Tennessee has 23.
As a team, Tennessee has produced 3.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.9 over its last two.
Houston has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.7 over its last two.
Over its last three matchups, Houston is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Tennessee’s previous game was set at 50. The under cashed in the team’s 38-10 loss to Indianapolis.
In its last three games, Tennessee is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Houston’s last outing was 40.5. The over cashed in that 23-21 triumph over Washington.
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