The Jaguars (+3) are gearing up to welcome their AFC South counterpart Indianapolis Colts (-3) to Jacksonville. The opening kickoff for this matchup is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to CBS.
Indianapolis Colts -4.5 -210 ov 47.5
Jacksonville Jaguars +4.5 +175 un 47.5
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Indianapolis Colts vs. Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview
Jacksonville is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 3 points. The Colts are also receiving -150 moneyline odds while the Jaguars are +130. Some good live betting scenarios could exist during this game, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 48 points.
The Colts are 5-5-1 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 1.8 units so far. The team’s posted an Over-Under mark of 6-5. The disappointing Jaguars have lost 10.3 units this season. They’re 3-6-2 ATS and have an O/U record of 5-6.
The Colts are 6-5 straight up (SU), including 2-1 SU against AFC South opponents. The Jaguars are 3-8 SU overall and 0-3 SU versus divisional foes.
Indianapolis enters this matchup on a zero-game winless skid while Jacksonville has won each of its last zero. The Colts hope to keep it rolling after a 27-24 victory over Miami last week. Andrew Luck completed 30 passes on 37 attempts for 343 yards, three scores and two interceptions. Marlon Mack (85 yards on 15 rush attempts) spearheaded the ground attack while T.Y. Hilton (seven receptions, 125 yards) and Eric Ebron (five catches, 45 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties in the win.
In Week 12, Buffalo knocked off this Jacksonville team by a score of 24-21. Blake Bortles completed 12-of-23 passes for 127 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Leonard Fournette (95 yards on 18 rush attempts, two TDs) and Carlos Hyde (33 yards on 10 carries) spearheaded the running game while Dede Westbrook (three receptions, 44 yards, one TD) and Fournette (three catches, 13 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Indianapolis has run the ball on 38.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Jacksonville has an overall rush percentage of 42.4 percent. The Colts have run for 113 yards/game (including 75 per game versus South opponents) and have seven touchdowns on the ground this year. The Jags are putting up 114 rushing yards per game (83 in conference) and have six total rush TDs.
It seems like the Colts could hold an edge when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game, since their running backs has produced 4.5 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 4.0 YPC to opponents. The Jaguars have rushed for 4.3 yards per carry and given up 4.2 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Colts offensive scheme has tallied 283 yards per game through the air overall (348 per game against conference opposition) and has 32 passing scores so far. The Jags have recorded 248 pass yards per game (232.0 in the AFC) and have 14 total pass TDs.
Defensively, Indianapolis has allowed 106 rush yards and 267 pass yards per game. The Jacksonville defense has allowed 219.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 114.5 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Colts have given up an ANY/A of 6.55 to opposing QBs, while the Jags are allowing an ANY/A of 6.08.
Offensively, Luck has put up 2,815 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 276-of-408 attempts with 29 passing scores and 11 interceptions. He has a 6.72 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 9.85 over the past two games.
The Colts have tried to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. In addition to wideout T.Y. Hilton (555 receiving yards and four touchdowns), Marlon Mack (495 rush yards, three rush TDs, one receiving TD) and Nyheim Hines (269 rush yards, one rush TD, 228 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) have been focal points in the Indianapolis offensive scheme.
Blake Bortles has managed to complete 213-of-351 passes for 2,468 yards, 13 TDs and 10 INTs for Jacksonville. His ANY/A stands at 5.83 for the season and 2.02 across his last two outings.
The Jags will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. Along with Dede Westbrook (509 receiving yards, four receiving TDs), Leonard Fournette (219 rush yards, three rush TDs, 88 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and Carlos Hyde (431 rush yards, five rush TDs) have gotten a multitude of touches lately.
RELATED: Week 13 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
Free NFL Tip: Colts at Jaguars
SU Winner – Jaguars, ATS Winner – Jaguars, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Indianapolis D has sacked opposing quarterbacks 27 times this season. Jacksonville has produced just 21 sacks.
Jacksonville has lost 11 fumbles this season while the Indianapolis offense has lost six.
The Colts offense has created four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Jaguars have put up three such plays.
The Indianapolis defense has allowed two pass plays of 40+ yards, while Jacksonville has given up four such plays.
The Indianapolis offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Jacksonville has created six such runs.
The Colts defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Jaguars have given up seven such runs.
The Over/Under for Jacksonville’s last outing was set at 36.5. The over cashed in the team’s 24-21 defeat to Buffalo.
In its last three matchups, Jacksonville is 0-1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Over its last three contests, Indianapolis is 1-1-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Jacksonville has lost nine of its last 10 games SU, with a 19-point win over New York on September 30th accounting for the one victory over that stretch.
The O/U for Indianapolis’ previous game was set at 52.5. The under cashed in the team’s 27-24 victory over Miami.
As a team, Indianapolis has produced 3.9 yards per carry across its past three outings and 4.1 over its last two.
Jacksonville has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.9 over its last two.
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