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Week 15 Free Pick – Washington Redskins at Jacksonville Jaguars

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Redskins and Jacksonville Jaguars will go head-to-head on the grass of EverBank Field. This early afternoon game will start at 1:00 p.m. ET and CBS will broadcast the action.

Washington Redskins at Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview

This Sunday game shows the Redskins as the dogs and they’re currently getting 7 points. The Redskins are also receiving +230 moneyline odds while the Jaguars are -280. Should one side can create a bunch of points early it would produce a nice in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 36 points.

The line opened at -7. The game’s total hasn’t changed after it was set initially at 36.

The Redskins are 7-6 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 1.9 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under mark of 6-7. The Jaguars have been a disappointment to moneyline bettors this season, losing 9.7 units. The team is 4-7-2 ATS and also has an O/U record of 6-7.

The Redskins have gone 6-7 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Jaguars are 4-9 SU.

The Redskins will attempt to get back in stride after a 40-16 loss to the Giants in Week 14 where the Redskins completed 17-of-30 passes for 233 yards, one touchdown and three interceptions. Josh Johnson went 11-for-16 for 195 yards, one touchdown and one interception while Mark Sanchez completed six-of-14 for 38 yards and two interceptions. Adrian Peterson (16 rushing yards on 10 attempts) mounted the ground attack. Josh Doctson (four receptions, 84 yards) and Vernon Davis (four catches, 31 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Jacksonville just fell 30-9 to Tennessee in Week 14. Cody Kessler completed 25-of-43 passes for 240 yards and one touchdown. Leonard Fournette (36 yards on 14 rush attempts) spearheaded the running attack while Dede Westbrook (seven receptions, 88 yards, one TD) and Donte Moncrief (five catches, 47 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.

In terms of offensive play-calling, each squad sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Washington has run the ball on 43.6 percent of its offensive possessions while Jacksonville has a rush percentage of 42.3. The Redskins have rushed for 114 yards per game and have 12 scores on the ground this year. The Jags are averaging 107 rushing yards per game and have six total rush TDs.

The Redskins offense has tallied 222 yards/contest in the air overall and has 14 passing scores so far. The Jags have recorded 240 pass yards per contest and have 15 total pass TDs.

Washington has let opponents rush for an average of 112 yards and pass for 275 yards per game. The Jacksonville D has given up 217.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 120.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Jags are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.65 to opponents, while the Redskins have given up a 6.52 ANY/A.

Offensively, Johnson is up to 195 passing yards on the year, and has completed 11-of-16 attempts with one passing scores and one interception. Johnson’s got a sparkling 10.63 adjusted net yards per pass attempt.

Josh Doctson (418 receiving yards, two receiving touchdowns on the year), Jamison Crowder (221 receiving yards, two receiving TDs) and Adrian Peterson (774 rush yards, six rush TDs, one TD) have all played key roles lately.

Cody Kessler has connected on 46-of-73 passes for 396 yards, two TDs and one INT for Jacksonville. His ANY/A stands at a terrible 3.93 for the year and 4.69 over his past two games.

As a trio, Dede Westbrook, Donte Moncrief and T.J. Yeldon have combined to account for 281 total yards over the last couple of games.

RELATED: Week 15 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

NFL Prediction: Washington Redskins at Jacksonville Jaguars

SU Winner – Jaguars, ATS Winner – Redskins, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes

The Redskins offense has registered five pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Jaguars have accounted for three such plays.

The Washington defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Jacksonville has given up four such plays.

Both teams have produced six rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Washington offense has recorded 41 running plays of 10+ yards while Jacksonville has accounted for 37 such plays.

The Redskins defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Jaguars have given up nine such runs.

The Washington defense has 34 sacks on the year while Jacksonville has just 25.

As a team, Washington has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.2 over its last two.

Jacksonville has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.0 over its past two.

Washington has lost six of its last seven games SU, with a 13-point win over Tampa Bay on November 11th accounting for the only victory over that stretch.

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Written by GMS Previews

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